Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Renato Casagrande’s resignation to run for Senate, holds the strongest position in the October 4 first-round vote. Recent September polling from Real Time Big Data shows him at 39–43% in first-round simulations, ahead of Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) at 30–33%, with Helder Salomão (PT) and others trailing further behind. His 76% approval rating and broad coalition backing, including PP and PSDB allies, underpin trader consensus on his re-election prospects. A potential runoff on October 25 against Pazolini remains possible if no candidate reaches a majority, though current vote-intention trends favor Ferraço advancing and prevailing in head-to-head matchups.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วRicardo Ferraço 65%
Lorenzo Pazolini 33%
Sergio Vidigal <1%
Arnaldinho Borgo <1%
$40,175 ปริมาณ
$40,175 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Ricardo Ferraço
65%
Lorenzo Pazolini
33%
Sergio Vidigal
<1%
Arnaldinho Borgo
<1%
Euclério Sampaio
<1%
Ricardo Ferraço 65%
Lorenzo Pazolini 33%
Sergio Vidigal <1%
Arnaldinho Borgo <1%
$40,175 ปริมาณ
$40,175 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Ricardo Ferraço
$14,350 ปริมาณ
65%
Lorenzo Pazolini
$13,943 ปริมาณ
33%
Sergio Vidigal
$3,569 ปริมาณ
<1%
Arnaldinho Borgo
$4,885 ปริมาณ
<1%
Euclério Sampaio
$3,428 ปริมาณ
<1%
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Renato Casagrande’s resignation to run for Senate, holds the strongest position in the October 4 first-round vote. Recent September polling from Real Time Big Data shows him at 39–43% in first-round simulations, ahead of Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) at 30–33%, with Helder Salomão (PT) and others trailing further behind. His 76% approval rating and broad coalition backing, including PP and PSDB allies, underpin trader consensus on his re-election prospects. A potential runoff on October 25 against Pazolini remains possible if no candidate reaches a majority, though current vote-intention trends favor Ferraço advancing and prevailing in head-to-head matchups.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$40,175วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Renato Casagrande’s resignation to run for Senate, holds the strongest position in the October 4 first-round vote. Recent September polling from Real Time Big Data shows him at 39–43% in first-round simulations, ahead of Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) at 30–33%, with Helder Salomão (PT) and others trailing further behind. His 76% approval rating and broad coalition backing, including PP and PSDB allies, underpin trader consensus on his re-election prospects. A potential runoff on October 25 against Pazolini remains possible if no candidate reaches a majority, though current vote-intention trends favor Ferraço advancing and prevailing in head-to-head matchups.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$40,175วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Renato Casagrande’s resignation to run for Senate, holds the strongest position in the October 4 first-round vote. Recent September polling from Real Time Big Data shows him at 39–43% in first-round simulations, ahead of Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) at 30–33%, with Helder Salomão (PT) and others trailing further behind. His 76% approval rating and broad coalition backing, including PP and PSDB allies, underpin trader consensus on his re-election prospects. A potential runoff on October 25 against Pazolini remains possible if no candidate reaches a majority, though current vote-intention trends favor Ferraço advancing and prevailing in head-to-head matchups.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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