Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), who assumed the governorship in April 2026 following Renato Casagrande’s resignation, holds the strongest position in the October 4, 2026 race according to recent polling. A June Real Time Big Data survey showed him leading first-round scenarios at 39% against Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) at 33%, with decisive advantages in all tested runoffs, supported by 77% approval. Earlier April Quaest polling had indicated technical ties among multiple pre-candidates including Pazolini, Magno Malta (PL), and Paulo Hartung (PSD). The market’s modest 55.5% price for Ferraço alongside 28.5% for Pazolini and lower shares for others reflects this incumbency edge tempered by the multi-candidate field, limited name recognition for some contenders, and several months remaining before formal candidacies and party alignments solidify.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วEspírito Santo Governor Election Winner
Ricardo Ferraço 56%
Lorenzo Pazolini 29%
Arnaldinho Borgo 10.0%
Sergio Vidigal 9.0%
Ricardo Ferraço
56%
Lorenzo Pazolini
29%
Arnaldinho Borgo
10%
Sergio Vidigal
9%
Euclério Sampaio
6%
Ricardo Ferraço 56%
Lorenzo Pazolini 29%
Arnaldinho Borgo 10.0%
Sergio Vidigal 9.0%
Ricardo Ferraço
56%
Lorenzo Pazolini
29%
Arnaldinho Borgo
10%
Sergio Vidigal
9%
Euclério Sampaio
6%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), who assumed the governorship in April 2026 following Renato Casagrande’s resignation, holds the strongest position in the October 4, 2026 race according to recent polling. A June Real Time Big Data survey showed him leading first-round scenarios at 39% against Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) at 33%, with decisive advantages in all tested runoffs, supported by 77% approval. Earlier April Quaest polling had indicated technical ties among multiple pre-candidates including Pazolini, Magno Malta (PL), and Paulo Hartung (PSD). The market’s modest 55.5% price for Ferraço alongside 28.5% for Pazolini and lower shares for others reflects this incumbency edge tempered by the multi-candidate field, limited name recognition for some contenders, and several months remaining before formal candidacies and party alignments solidify.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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