**Traders assign an 87% probability to Alexandre de Moraes remaining on Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court (STF) because removal faces steep constitutional and political barriers that have not been overcome.** Impeachment of an STF justice requires broad congressional consensus—typically a Senate supermajority—that opposition efforts tied to the Bolsonaro cases have failed to secure. As of mid-2026, calls from right-wing lawmakers have gathered support from around 41 senators, short of the threshold, and the Senate president has declined to advance votes. Moraes continues to exercise full judicial authority, including a May 2026 ruling suspending legislation that could shorten former President Jair Bolsonaro’s sentence pending full-court review. The Lula administration’s alignment with the court and the absence of any successful challenge since U.S. sanctions were lifted in December 2025 reinforce institutional continuity. While partisan criticism persists, no procedural or electoral development has shifted the balance toward removal.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$29,751 ปริมาณ
$29,751 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
$29,751 ปริมาณ
$29,751 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
**Traders assign an 87% probability to Alexandre de Moraes remaining on Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court (STF) because removal faces steep constitutional and political barriers that have not been overcome.** Impeachment of an STF justice requires broad congressional consensus—typically a Senate supermajority—that opposition efforts tied to the Bolsonaro cases have failed to secure. As of mid-2026, calls from right-wing lawmakers have gathered support from around 41 senators, short of the threshold, and the Senate president has declined to advance votes.
Moraes continues to exercise full judicial authority, including a May 2026 ruling suspending legislation that could shorten former President Jair Bolsonaro’s sentence pending full-court review. The Lula administration’s alignment with the court and the absence of any successful challenge since U.S. sanctions were lifted in December 2025 reinforce institutional continuity. While partisan criticism persists, no procedural or electoral development has shifted the balance toward removal.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,751วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
**Traders assign an 87% probability to Alexandre de Moraes remaining on Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court (STF) because removal faces steep constitutional and political barriers that have not been overcome.** Impeachment of an STF justice requires broad congressional consensus—typically a Senate supermajority—that opposition efforts tied to the Bolsonaro cases have failed to secure. As of mid-2026, calls from right-wing lawmakers have gathered support from around 41 senators, short of the threshold, and the Senate president has declined to advance votes.
Moraes continues to exercise full judicial authority, including a May 2026 ruling suspending legislation that could shorten former President Jair Bolsonaro’s sentence pending full-court review. The Lula administration’s alignment with the court and the absence of any successful challenge since U.S. sanctions were lifted in December 2025 reinforce institutional continuity. While partisan criticism persists, no procedural or electoral development has shifted the balance toward removal.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,751วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Traders assign an 87% probability to Alexandre de Moraes remaining on Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court (STF) because removal faces steep constitutional and political barriers that have not been overcome.** Impeachment of an STF justice requires broad congressional consensus—typically a Senate supermajority—that opposition efforts tied to the Bolsonaro cases have failed to secure. As of mid-2026, calls from right-wing lawmakers have gathered support from around 41 senators, short of the threshold, and the Senate president has declined to advance votes. Moraes continues to exercise full judicial authority, including a May 2026 ruling suspending legislation that could shorten former President Jair Bolsonaro’s sentence pending full-court review. The Lula administration’s alignment with the court and the absence of any successful challenge since U.S. sanctions were lifted in December 2025 reinforce institutional continuity. While partisan criticism persists, no procedural or electoral development has shifted the balance toward removal.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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