Recent polling averages ahead of Brazil’s October 4 first round show Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro as the clear top two, leaving third place to compete among lower-polling right-wing options. Renan Santos, the Mission Party candidate and former Free Brazil Movement organizer, has posted the strongest gains among these contenders, particularly with younger voters, through consistent social-media outreach and explicit positioning further right than Flávio Bolsonaro. Ronaldo Caiado, the PSD nominee and former Goiás governor, retains solid name recognition and institutional backing but trails Santos in most recent surveys. Romeu Zema and other listed figures register even lower support, consistent with their single-digit or sub-3% polling levels. Traders therefore assign Santos the highest implied probability for third place while treating the outcome as still sensitive to final debate performances and any late consolidation on the right.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วRenan Santos 59%
Ronaldo Caiado 34%
Romeu Zema 5.3%
Flávio Bolsonaro 2.9%
$537,085 ปริมาณ
$537,085 ปริมาณ
Renan Santos
59%
Ronaldo Caiado
34%
Romeu Zema
5%
Flávio Bolsonaro
3%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
1%
Tarcisio de Freitas
<1%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
<1%
Michelle Bolsonaro
<1%
Ratinho Júnior
<1%
Camilo Santana
<1%
Geraldo Alckmin
<1%
Fernando Haddad
<1%
Jair Bolsonaro
<1%
Aldo Rebelo
<1%
Tereza Cristina
<1%
Eduardo Leite
<1%
Helder Barbalho
<1%
Renan Santos 59%
Ronaldo Caiado 34%
Romeu Zema 5.3%
Flávio Bolsonaro 2.9%
$537,085 ปริมาณ
$537,085 ปริมาณ
Renan Santos
59%
Ronaldo Caiado
34%
Romeu Zema
5%
Flávio Bolsonaro
3%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
1%
Tarcisio de Freitas
<1%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
<1%
Michelle Bolsonaro
<1%
Ratinho Júnior
<1%
Camilo Santana
<1%
Geraldo Alckmin
<1%
Fernando Haddad
<1%
Jair Bolsonaro
<1%
Aldo Rebelo
<1%
Tereza Cristina
<1%
Eduardo Leite
<1%
Helder Barbalho
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling averages ahead of Brazil’s October 4 first round show Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro as the clear top two, leaving third place to compete among lower-polling right-wing options. Renan Santos, the Mission Party candidate and former Free Brazil Movement organizer, has posted the strongest gains among these contenders, particularly with younger voters, through consistent social-media outreach and explicit positioning further right than Flávio Bolsonaro. Ronaldo Caiado, the PSD nominee and former Goiás governor, retains solid name recognition and institutional backing but trails Santos in most recent surveys. Romeu Zema and other listed figures register even lower support, consistent with their single-digit or sub-3% polling levels. Traders therefore assign Santos the highest implied probability for third place while treating the outcome as still sensitive to final debate performances and any late consolidation on the right.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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