Trader consensus prices Romeu Zema and Renan Santos nearly even for third place in Brazil's October 4, 2026, presidential first round, reflecting a fragmented center-right field trailing projected top-two finishers Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro. Recent AtlasIntel polling (April 22-27) showed Renan Santos surging to 5.3% nationally—edging Zema (3.1%) and Ronaldo Caiado (3.3%)—buoyed by his MBL activism and Missão party appeal to younger anti-establishment voters, while Zema draws from his Minas Gerais governorship record and high-profile Supreme Court clashes boosting visibility. A fresher Quaest survey placed both Zema and Caiado at 4% with Renan at 2%, underscoring volatility amid right-wing vote splits. Party conventions this summer and pre-campaign debates could prompt endorsements or withdrawals, potentially separating frontrunners.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วRomeu Zema 36%
Renan Santos 34%
Ronaldo Caiado 13%
Michelle Bolsonaro 5.0%
$277,443 ปริมาณ
$277,443 ปริมาณ
Romeu Zema
36%
Renan Santos
34%
Ronaldo Caiado
13%
Michelle Bolsonaro
5%
Flávio Bolsonaro
4%
Fernando Haddad
4%
Geraldo Alckmin
1%
Camilo Santana
1%
Eduardo Leite
1%
Jair Bolsonaro
<1%
Aldo Rebelo
<1%
Tarcisio de Freitas
<1%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
<1%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
<1%
Ratinho Júnior
<1%
Romeu Zema 36%
Renan Santos 34%
Ronaldo Caiado 13%
Michelle Bolsonaro 5.0%
$277,443 ปริมาณ
$277,443 ปริมาณ
Romeu Zema
36%
Renan Santos
34%
Ronaldo Caiado
13%
Michelle Bolsonaro
5%
Flávio Bolsonaro
4%
Fernando Haddad
4%
Geraldo Alckmin
1%
Camilo Santana
1%
Eduardo Leite
1%
Jair Bolsonaro
<1%
Aldo Rebelo
<1%
Tarcisio de Freitas
<1%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
<1%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
<1%
Ratinho Júnior
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Romeu Zema and Renan Santos nearly even for third place in Brazil's October 4, 2026, presidential first round, reflecting a fragmented center-right field trailing projected top-two finishers Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro. Recent AtlasIntel polling (April 22-27) showed Renan Santos surging to 5.3% nationally—edging Zema (3.1%) and Ronaldo Caiado (3.3%)—buoyed by his MBL activism and Missão party appeal to younger anti-establishment voters, while Zema draws from his Minas Gerais governorship record and high-profile Supreme Court clashes boosting visibility. A fresher Quaest survey placed both Zema and Caiado at 4% with Renan at 2%, underscoring volatility amid right-wing vote splits. Party conventions this summer and pre-campaign debates could prompt endorsements or withdrawals, potentially separating frontrunners.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย