Flavio Bolsonaro’s selection of a vice-presidential running mate for the Liberal Party ticket in Brazil’s October 2026 presidential election reflects limited centrist coalition support and a focus on party loyalty. Recent convention activity and public statements have elevated Alfredo Gaspar, aligning with his 57.5% market price, while figures such as Bia Kicis, Rosana Valle, and Damares Alves remain in contention around the low-40% range. The tight spread among multiple outcomes stems from ongoing negotiations within the PL, regional considerations, and uncertainty over formal confirmation ahead of the first-round vote. Upcoming party announcements or endorsements could consolidate probabilities further, though historical patterns in Brazilian ticket formation show late adjustments remain possible before ballots close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTereza Cristina 10%
Daniella Marques 10%
Priscila Costa 8%
Michelle Bolsonaro 6.0%
Tereza Cristina
10%
Daniella Marques
10%
Priscila Costa
8%
Michelle Bolsonaro
24%
Simone Marquetto
5%
Marcos Pontes
1%
Rogério Marinho
1%
Júlia Zanatta
1%
Clarissa Tércio
-
Damares Alves
-
Renata Abreu
-
Gilson Machado
-
Alfredo Gaspar
56%
Bia Kicis
-
Rosana Valle
-
Tereza Cristina 10%
Daniella Marques 10%
Priscila Costa 8%
Michelle Bolsonaro 6.0%
Tereza Cristina
10%
Daniella Marques
10%
Priscila Costa
8%
Michelle Bolsonaro
24%
Simone Marquetto
5%
Marcos Pontes
1%
Rogério Marinho
1%
Júlia Zanatta
1%
Clarissa Tércio
-
Damares Alves
-
Renata Abreu
-
Gilson Machado
-
Alfredo Gaspar
56%
Bia Kicis
-
Rosana Valle
-
An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify.
If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 4, 2026, 12:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify.
If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Flavio Bolsonaro’s selection of a vice-presidential running mate for the Liberal Party ticket in Brazil’s October 2026 presidential election reflects limited centrist coalition support and a focus on party loyalty. Recent convention activity and public statements have elevated Alfredo Gaspar, aligning with his 57.5% market price, while figures such as Bia Kicis, Rosana Valle, and Damares Alves remain in contention around the low-40% range. The tight spread among multiple outcomes stems from ongoing negotiations within the PL, regional considerations, and uncertainty over formal confirmation ahead of the first-round vote. Upcoming party announcements or endorsements could consolidate probabilities further, though historical patterns in Brazilian ticket formation show late adjustments remain possible before ballots close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย