The tight contest between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil) reflects closely matched polling averages near 38-41% in recent surveys, with the race shaped by Rodrigues's recovered approval ratings on infrastructure and education alongside Neto's consolidation of opposition support after his 2025 realignment with right-wing blocs. A recent August debate highlighted shared priorities on security, health, and economic issues without decisive shifts, while municipal-level endorsements and judicial rulings on campaign conduct have maintained momentum balance. Separation could emerge from late-cycle polling swings in key regions, turnout patterns among swing voters, or national political developments influencing Bahia's electorate before the October first round.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วBahia Governor Election Winner
Bahia Governor Election Winner
Jerônimo Rodrigues 50%
ACM Neto 48%
Kleber Rosa <1%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
$107,708 ปริมาณ
$107,708 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
50%
ACM Neto
48%
Kleber Rosa
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
<1%
João Roma
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
<1%
Rui Costa
<1%
Jerônimo Rodrigues 50%
ACM Neto 48%
Kleber Rosa <1%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
$107,708 ปริมาณ
$107,708 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
$34,629 ปริมาณ
50%
ACM Neto
$35,900 ปริมาณ
48%
Kleber Rosa
$11,407 ปริมาณ
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
$9,514 ปริมาณ
<1%
João Roma
$5,186 ปริมาณ
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
$5,325 ปริมาณ
<1%
Rui Costa
$5,747 ปริมาณ
<1%
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight contest between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil) reflects closely matched polling averages near 38-41% in recent surveys, with the race shaped by Rodrigues's recovered approval ratings on infrastructure and education alongside Neto's consolidation of opposition support after his 2025 realignment with right-wing blocs. A recent August debate highlighted shared priorities on security, health, and economic issues without decisive shifts, while municipal-level endorsements and judicial rulings on campaign conduct have maintained momentum balance. Separation could emerge from late-cycle polling swings in key regions, turnout patterns among swing voters, or national political developments influencing Bahia's electorate before the October first round.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$107,708วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight contest between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil) reflects closely matched polling averages near 38-41% in recent surveys, with the race shaped by Rodrigues's recovered approval ratings on infrastructure and education alongside Neto's consolidation of opposition support after his 2025 realignment with right-wing blocs. A recent August debate highlighted shared priorities on security, health, and economic issues without decisive shifts, while municipal-level endorsements and judicial rulings on campaign conduct have maintained momentum balance. Separation could emerge from late-cycle polling swings in key regions, turnout patterns among swing voters, or national political developments influencing Bahia's electorate before the October first round.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$107,708วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight contest between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil) reflects closely matched polling averages near 38-41% in recent surveys, with the race shaped by Rodrigues's recovered approval ratings on infrastructure and education alongside Neto's consolidation of opposition support after his 2025 realignment with right-wing blocs. A recent August debate highlighted shared priorities on security, health, and economic issues without decisive shifts, while municipal-level endorsements and judicial rulings on campaign conduct have maintained momentum balance. Separation could emerge from late-cycle polling swings in key regions, turnout patterns among swing voters, or national political developments influencing Bahia's electorate before the October first round.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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