Recent state-level polling shows the Partido Liberal (PL) leading or competitive in key races across the Distrito Federal, Rio de Janeiro, Santa Catarina, and multiple North and Northeast states ahead of the October 4, 2026, contest for 54 Senate seats. The April 4 party-switching deadline enabled PL to expand its congressional ranks and lock in high-profile opposition candidacies, while the Senate’s April 29 rejection of President Lula’s Supreme Court nominee highlighted institutional pushback that has bolstered projections of 15–20 seats for the party. Trader consensus prices PL at 78.5% to finish with the most seats, reflecting these organizational and polling advantages in a fragmented field where no other party has demonstrated comparable momentum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNext Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won
Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won
PL 77%
REPUBLICANOS 10.7%
PSD 5.1%
UNIÃO 4.3%
$253,938 ปริมาณ
$253,938 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
PL
77%
REPUBLICANOS
11%
PSD
5%
UNIÃO
4%
PT
3%
PODEMOS
3%
MDB
2%
PSB
1%
NOVO
1%
PSDB
<1%
PP
<1%
PDT
<1%
PL 77%
REPUBLICANOS 10.7%
PSD 5.1%
UNIÃO 4.3%
$253,938 ปริมาณ
$253,938 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
PL
$242,655 ปริมาณ
77%
REPUBLICANOS
$1,075 ปริมาณ
11%
PSD
$1,046 ปริมาณ
5%
UNIÃO
$958 ปริมาณ
4%
PT
$1,040 ปริมาณ
3%
PODEMOS
$1,156 ปริมาณ
3%
MDB
$1,002 ปริมาณ
2%
PSB
$1,071 ปริมาณ
1%
NOVO
$1,134 ปริมาณ
1%
PSDB
$1,023 ปริมาณ
<1%
PP
$935 ปริมาณ
<1%
PDT
$843 ปริมาณ
<1%
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent state-level polling shows the Partido Liberal (PL) leading or competitive in key races across the Distrito Federal, Rio de Janeiro, Santa Catarina, and multiple North and Northeast states ahead of the October 4, 2026, contest for 54 Senate seats. The April 4 party-switching deadline enabled PL to expand its congressional ranks and lock in high-profile opposition candidacies, while the Senate’s April 29 rejection of President Lula’s Supreme Court nominee highlighted institutional pushback that has bolstered projections of 15–20 seats for the party. Trader consensus prices PL at 78.5% to finish with the most seats, reflecting these organizational and polling advantages in a fragmented field where no other party has demonstrated comparable momentum.
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 11, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$253,938วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 11, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent state-level polling shows the Partido Liberal (PL) leading or competitive in key races across the Distrito Federal, Rio de Janeiro, Santa Catarina, and multiple North and Northeast states ahead of the October 4, 2026, contest for 54 Senate seats. The April 4 party-switching deadline enabled PL to expand its congressional ranks and lock in high-profile opposition candidacies, while the Senate’s April 29 rejection of President Lula’s Supreme Court nominee highlighted institutional pushback that has bolstered projections of 15–20 seats for the party. Trader consensus prices PL at 78.5% to finish with the most seats, reflecting these organizational and polling advantages in a fragmented field where no other party has demonstrated comparable momentum.
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$253,938วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 11, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent state-level polling shows the Partido Liberal (PL) leading or competitive in key races across the Distrito Federal, Rio de Janeiro, Santa Catarina, and multiple North and Northeast states ahead of the October 4, 2026, contest for 54 Senate seats. The April 4 party-switching deadline enabled PL to expand its congressional ranks and lock in high-profile opposition candidacies, while the Senate’s April 29 rejection of President Lula’s Supreme Court nominee highlighted institutional pushback that has bolstered projections of 15–20 seats for the party. Trader consensus prices PL at 78.5% to finish with the most seats, reflecting these organizational and polling advantages in a fragmented field where no other party has demonstrated comparable momentum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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