Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera leads Colima’s 2027 gubernatorial market at 81% implied probability after Morena designated her coordinator of the Defensa de la Transformación in late August 2026, following internal surveys where she topped preferences by double digits over rivals such as Gricelda Valencia de la Mora and Joel Padilla Peña. As former Manzanillo mayor and state economic development secretary, Bayardo benefits from the ruling coalition’s (Morena-PT-PVEM) structural advantage in a state where the incumbent cannot seek reelection and recent head-to-head polling shows the alliance ahead of PAN, PRI, and Movimiento Ciudadano options. Lower-priced contenders including Riult Rivera Gutiérrez (PAN) and Griselda Martínez Martínez (MC) trail due to fragmented opposition support and limited recent momentum. The current trader consensus reflects these party-structure and polling dynamics one year before the vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วRosa María Bayardo Cabrera 81%
Riult Rivera Gutiérrez 8.2%
Gabriela Benavides Cobos 4.0%
Margarita Moreno González 3.7%
$37,347 ปริมาณ
$37,347 ปริมาณ
Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera
81%
Riult Rivera Gutiérrez
8%
Gabriela Benavides Cobos
4%
Margarita Moreno González
4%
Griselda Martínez Martínez
3%
Gricelda Valencia de la Mora
2%
María Cristina Lupien
2%
Mario Delgado Carrillo
1%
Joel Padilla Peña
1%
Mely Romero Celis
1%
José Israel González
1%
Enrique Rojas Orozco
1%
Leoncio Alfonso Morán Sánchez
1%
Viridiana Valencia Vargas
1%
Virgilio Mendoza Amezcua
1%
Sofía Peralta Ferro
1%
Ana Karen Hernández Aceves
1%
César Yáñez Centeno
<1%
Hilda Lizette Moreno
<1%
José Manuel Romero Coello
<1%
Esther Gutiérrez
<1%
Julia Licet Jiménez Angulo
<1%
Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera 81%
Riult Rivera Gutiérrez 8.2%
Gabriela Benavides Cobos 4.0%
Margarita Moreno González 3.7%
$37,347 ปริมาณ
$37,347 ปริมาณ
Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera
81%
Riult Rivera Gutiérrez
8%
Gabriela Benavides Cobos
4%
Margarita Moreno González
4%
Griselda Martínez Martínez
3%
Gricelda Valencia de la Mora
2%
María Cristina Lupien
2%
Mario Delgado Carrillo
1%
Joel Padilla Peña
1%
Mely Romero Celis
1%
José Israel González
1%
Enrique Rojas Orozco
1%
Leoncio Alfonso Morán Sánchez
1%
Viridiana Valencia Vargas
1%
Virgilio Mendoza Amezcua
1%
Sofía Peralta Ferro
1%
Ana Karen Hernández Aceves
1%
César Yáñez Centeno
<1%
Hilda Lizette Moreno
<1%
José Manuel Romero Coello
<1%
Esther Gutiérrez
<1%
Julia Licet Jiménez Angulo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 5, 2026, 7:40 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera leads Colima’s 2027 gubernatorial market at 81% implied probability after Morena designated her coordinator of the Defensa de la Transformación in late August 2026, following internal surveys where she topped preferences by double digits over rivals such as Gricelda Valencia de la Mora and Joel Padilla Peña. As former Manzanillo mayor and state economic development secretary, Bayardo benefits from the ruling coalition’s (Morena-PT-PVEM) structural advantage in a state where the incumbent cannot seek reelection and recent head-to-head polling shows the alliance ahead of PAN, PRI, and Movimiento Ciudadano options. Lower-priced contenders including Riult Rivera Gutiérrez (PAN) and Griselda Martínez Martínez (MC) trail due to fragmented opposition support and limited recent momentum. The current trader consensus reflects these party-structure and polling dynamics one year before the vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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