Beatriz Mojica Morga leads trader consensus at 67.3% for the June 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial election due to her selection as Morena’s state coordinator for the defense of the Fourth Transformation following an internal survey process in September 2026. Recent October polling shows Morena holding 50-59% party preference statewide, with Mojica capturing 33% or more in head-to-head scenarios against fragmented opposition figures. Manuel Añorve Baños (PRI) trails at 19.9% in market pricing, consistent with surveys placing him around 15%, while other listed candidates remain below 5% amid Morena’s structural advantage from the current state administration. No major shifts have altered this positioning in the past month.