United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Samara Oblast Regional Duma election market due to its established dominance in Russian regional contests under the mixed electoral system of party-list proportional representation and single-mandate districts. The party secured strong candidate slates through primaries, with regional governor Vyacheslav Fedorishchev heading the list, and achieved full registration across all 25 single-member constituencies ahead of the September 18–20 vote. Recent registration of opposition lists from CPRF, LDPR, A Just Russia, and others has not shifted trader consensus, reflecting structural advantages including incumbency and organizational resources. A September 11 drone strike on a local election commission building introduced minor procedural disruption but left ballots intact. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include unusually high opposition turnout in key districts or late administrative shifts, though such developments remain improbable days before voting begins.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วUnited Russia 96.7%
LDPR <1%
New People <1%
Party of Pensioners <1%
$13,285 ปริมาณ
$13,285 ปริมาณ
Sep 20, 2026
United Russia
97%
LDPR
1%
New People
1%
Party of Pensioners
1%
Communists of Russia
<1%
CPRF
<1%
A Just Russia
<1%
United Russia 96.7%
LDPR <1%
New People <1%
Party of Pensioners <1%
$13,285 ปริมาณ
$13,285 ปริมาณ
Sep 20, 2026
United Russia
$10,048 ปริมาณ
97%
LDPR
$430 ปริมาณ
1%
New People
$842 ปริมาณ
1%
Party of Pensioners
$555 ปริมาณ
1%
Communists of Russia
$659 ปริมาณ
<1%
CPRF
$376 ปริมาณ
<1%
A Just Russia
$376 ปริมาณ
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Samara Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Samara Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Samara Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Samara Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Samara Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Samara Oblast Regional Duma election market due to its established dominance in Russian regional contests under the mixed electoral system of party-list proportional representation and single-mandate districts. The party secured strong candidate slates through primaries, with regional governor Vyacheslav Fedorishchev heading the list, and achieved full registration across all 25 single-member constituencies ahead of the September 18–20 vote. Recent registration of opposition lists from CPRF, LDPR, A Just Russia, and others has not shifted trader consensus, reflecting structural advantages including incumbency and organizational resources. A September 11 drone strike on a local election commission building introduced minor procedural disruption but left ballots intact. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include unusually high opposition turnout in key districts or late administrative shifts, though such developments remain improbable days before voting begins.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Samara Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Samara Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Samara Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Samara Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Samara Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Samara Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Samara Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Samara Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Samara Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 28, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,285วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 28, 2026, 12:20 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Samara Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Samara Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Samara Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Samara Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Samara Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Samara Oblast Regional Duma election market due to its established dominance in Russian regional contests under the mixed electoral system of party-list proportional representation and single-mandate districts. The party secured strong candidate slates through primaries, with regional governor Vyacheslav Fedorishchev heading the list, and achieved full registration across all 25 single-member constituencies ahead of the September 18–20 vote. Recent registration of opposition lists from CPRF, LDPR, A Just Russia, and others has not shifted trader consensus, reflecting structural advantages including incumbency and organizational resources. A September 11 drone strike on a local election commission building introduced minor procedural disruption but left ballots intact. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include unusually high opposition turnout in key districts or late administrative shifts, though such developments remain improbable days before voting begins.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Samara Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Samara Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Samara Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Samara Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Samara Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Samara Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Samara Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Samara Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Samara Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,285วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 28, 2026, 12:20 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Samara Oblast Regional Duma election market due to its established dominance in Russian regional contests under the mixed electoral system of party-list proportional representation and single-mandate districts. The party secured strong candidate slates through primaries, with regional governor Vyacheslav Fedorishchev heading the list, and achieved full registration across all 25 single-member constituencies ahead of the September 18–20 vote. Recent registration of opposition lists from CPRF, LDPR, A Just Russia, and others has not shifted trader consensus, reflecting structural advantages including incumbency and organizational resources. A September 11 drone strike on a local election commission building introduced minor procedural disruption but left ballots intact. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include unusually high opposition turnout in key districts or late administrative shifts, though such developments remain improbable days before voting begins.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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