The fragmented national field and absence of granular Amazonas-specific polling keep the first-round outcome in this northern state highly uncertain, with trader consensus reflected in clustered probabilities near 40-50% for Lula, Flávio Bolsonaro, Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and several others. National surveys from early to mid-August show Lula (PT) holding a lead of roughly 38-42% overall ahead of Bolsonaro (PL) at 28-35%, while smaller candidates remain in single digits, yet regional dynamics such as alliances with local parties, Amazon policy priorities, and turnout among northern voters could shift relative performance. The October 4 first-round vote leaves limited time for late campaign events or endorsements to create separation in the state.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วRonaldo Caiado 44%
Rui Costa Pimenta 44%
Samara 44%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi 44%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 4, 2026
Ronaldo Caiado
44%
Rui Costa Pimenta
44%
Samara
44%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
44%
Zema
44%
Pablo Marçal
42%
Renan Santos
42%
Flavio Bolsonaro
41%
Clariana Barao
40%
Edmilson Costa
40%
Escritor Augusto Cury
40%
Hertz Dias
40%
Lula
40%
Ronaldo Caiado 44%
Rui Costa Pimenta 44%
Samara 44%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi 44%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 4, 2026
Ronaldo Caiado
$0 ปริมาณ
44%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$0 ปริมาณ
44%
Samara
$0 ปริมาณ
44%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$0 ปริมาณ
44%
Zema
$0 ปริมาณ
44%
Pablo Marçal
$0 ปริมาณ
42%
Renan Santos
$0 ปริมาณ
42%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$0 ปริมาณ
41%
Clariana Barao
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
Edmilson Costa
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
Hertz Dias
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
Lula
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).The fragmented national field and absence of granular Amazonas-specific polling keep the first-round outcome in this northern state highly uncertain, with trader consensus reflected in clustered probabilities near 40-50% for Lula, Flávio Bolsonaro, Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and several others. National surveys from early to mid-August show Lula (PT) holding a lead of roughly 38-42% overall ahead of Bolsonaro (PL) at 28-35%, while smaller candidates remain in single digits, yet regional dynamics such as alliances with local parties, Amazon policy priorities, and turnout among northern voters could shift relative performance. The October 4 first-round vote leaves limited time for late campaign events or endorsements to create separation in the state.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).The fragmented national field and absence of granular Amazonas-specific polling keep the first-round outcome in this northern state highly uncertain, with trader consensus reflected in clustered probabilities near 40-50% for Lula, Flávio Bolsonaro, Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and several others. National surveys from early to mid-August show Lula (PT) holding a lead of roughly 38-42% overall ahead of Bolsonaro (PL) at 28-35%, while smaller candidates remain in single digits, yet regional dynamics such as alliances with local parties, Amazon policy priorities, and turnout among northern voters could shift relative performance. The October 4 first-round vote leaves limited time for late campaign events or endorsements to create separation in the state.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The fragmented national field and absence of granular Amazonas-specific polling keep the first-round outcome in this northern state highly uncertain, with trader consensus reflected in clustered probabilities near 40-50% for Lula, Flávio Bolsonaro, Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and several others. National surveys from early to mid-August show Lula (PT) holding a lead of roughly 38-42% overall ahead of Bolsonaro (PL) at 28-35%, while smaller candidates remain in single digits, yet regional dynamics such as alliances with local parties, Amazon policy priorities, and turnout among northern voters could shift relative performance. The October 4 first-round vote leaves limited time for late campaign events or endorsements to create separation in the state.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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