Recent party conventions have finalized a fragmented field of nine candidates for Paraná's two Senate seats, with voting set for October 4, 2026, contributing to closely matched trader odds near the top. Alexandre Curi, the Republicanos nominee and current state assembly president with decades in local office, holds a modest lead in market pricing, while Deltan Dallagnol of Novo trails slightly amid an ongoing eligibility challenge before electoral courts. Lower-polling contenders including Gleisi Hoffmann and Cristina Reis Graeml further split preferences across ideological lines. This dispersion, combined with limited recent statewide polling and late-stage legal proceedings, sustains the tight positioning; a favorable court ruling or strong late-campaign consolidation around one or two names could shift implied probabilities more decisively.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAlexandre Curi 36%
Cristina Reis Graeml 24%
Karen Guerreiro 22%
Gleisi 22%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 4, 2026
Alexandre Curi
22%
Cristina Reis Graeml
24%
Karen Guerreiro
22%
Gleisi
22%
Dr. Rosinha
20%
Deltan Dallagnol
19%
Joaquim do MLB
20%
Filipe Barros
19%
Marcelo Marcelino
18%
Alexandre Curi 36%
Cristina Reis Graeml 24%
Karen Guerreiro 22%
Gleisi 22%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 4, 2026
Alexandre Curi
$40 ปริมาณ
22%
Cristina Reis Graeml
$20 ปริมาณ
24%
Karen Guerreiro
$20 ปริมาณ
22%
Gleisi
$20 ปริมาณ
22%
Dr. Rosinha
$70 ปริมาณ
20%
Deltan Dallagnol
$40 ปริมาณ
19%
Joaquim do MLB
$61 ปริมาณ
20%
Filipe Barros
$20 ปริมาณ
19%
Marcelo Marcelino
$40 ปริมาณ
18%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent party conventions have finalized a fragmented field of nine candidates for Paraná's two Senate seats, with voting set for October 4, 2026, contributing to closely matched trader odds near the top. Alexandre Curi, the Republicanos nominee and current state assembly president with decades in local office, holds a modest lead in market pricing, while Deltan Dallagnol of Novo trails slightly amid an ongoing eligibility challenge before electoral courts. Lower-polling contenders including Gleisi Hoffmann and Cristina Reis Graeml further split preferences across ideological lines. This dispersion, combined with limited recent statewide polling and late-stage legal proceedings, sustains the tight positioning; a favorable court ruling or strong late-campaign consolidation around one or two names could shift implied probabilities more decisively.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$331วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent party conventions have finalized a fragmented field of nine candidates for Paraná's two Senate seats, with voting set for October 4, 2026, contributing to closely matched trader odds near the top. Alexandre Curi, the Republicanos nominee and current state assembly president with decades in local office, holds a modest lead in market pricing, while Deltan Dallagnol of Novo trails slightly amid an ongoing eligibility challenge before electoral courts. Lower-polling contenders including Gleisi Hoffmann and Cristina Reis Graeml further split preferences across ideological lines. This dispersion, combined with limited recent statewide polling and late-stage legal proceedings, sustains the tight positioning; a favorable court ruling or strong late-campaign consolidation around one or two names could shift implied probabilities more decisively.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$331วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent party conventions have finalized a fragmented field of nine candidates for Paraná's two Senate seats, with voting set for October 4, 2026, contributing to closely matched trader odds near the top. Alexandre Curi, the Republicanos nominee and current state assembly president with decades in local office, holds a modest lead in market pricing, while Deltan Dallagnol of Novo trails slightly amid an ongoing eligibility challenge before electoral courts. Lower-polling contenders including Gleisi Hoffmann and Cristina Reis Graeml further split preferences across ideological lines. This dispersion, combined with limited recent statewide polling and late-stage legal proceedings, sustains the tight positioning; a favorable court ruling or strong late-campaign consolidation around one or two names could shift implied probabilities more decisively.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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