Lula maintains a commanding lead in Ceará for first place in the October 2026 presidential first round, with recent July and August polls from Quaest, Ipsos-Ipec, Datafolha, and Real Time Big Data showing him at 54-65% against Flávio Bolsonaro at 21-26% and all other candidates below 3%. This positioning reflects the state's consistent Northeast voting patterns, where Lula won every municipality in 2022, alongside stable federal government approval near 59% and limited traction for challengers such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, or Renan Santos. Official campaign activity began in mid-August following party conventions, with no major shifts reported in the past month. A realistic change would require significant late developments, such as unexpected economic data, candidate withdrawals, or broad voter realignment before the October 4 first round.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLula 97.0%
Flavio Bolsonaro 1.7%
Ronaldo Caiado <1%
Samara <1%
$14,021 ปริมาณ
$14,021 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
97%
Flavio Bolsonaro
2%
Ronaldo Caiado
1%
Samara
1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Zema
<1%
Lula 97.0%
Flavio Bolsonaro 1.7%
Ronaldo Caiado <1%
Samara <1%
$14,021 ปริมาณ
$14,021 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
$7,740 ปริมาณ
97%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$817 ปริมาณ
2%
Ronaldo Caiado
$702 ปริมาณ
1%
Samara
$517 ปริมาณ
1%
Edmilson Costa
$457 ปริมาณ
<1%
Hertz Dias
$467 ปริมาณ
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$467 ปริมาณ
<1%
Clariana Barao
$477 ปริมาณ
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$487 ปริมาณ
<1%
Renan Santos
$497 ปริมาณ
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$437 ปริมาณ
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$442 ปริมาณ
<1%
Zema
$517 ปริมาณ
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Ceará, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Ceará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Ceará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Ceará for first place in the October 2026 presidential first round, with recent July and August polls from Quaest, Ipsos-Ipec, Datafolha, and Real Time Big Data showing him at 54-65% against Flávio Bolsonaro at 21-26% and all other candidates below 3%. This positioning reflects the state's consistent Northeast voting patterns, where Lula won every municipality in 2022, alongside stable federal government approval near 59% and limited traction for challengers such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, or Renan Santos. Official campaign activity began in mid-August following party conventions, with no major shifts reported in the past month. A realistic change would require significant late developments, such as unexpected economic data, candidate withdrawals, or broad voter realignment before the October 4 first round.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Ceará, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Ceará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Ceará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Ceará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Ceará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 6:26 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,021วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:26 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Ceará, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Ceará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Ceará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Ceará for first place in the October 2026 presidential first round, with recent July and August polls from Quaest, Ipsos-Ipec, Datafolha, and Real Time Big Data showing him at 54-65% against Flávio Bolsonaro at 21-26% and all other candidates below 3%. This positioning reflects the state's consistent Northeast voting patterns, where Lula won every municipality in 2022, alongside stable federal government approval near 59% and limited traction for challengers such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, or Renan Santos. Official campaign activity began in mid-August following party conventions, with no major shifts reported in the past month. A realistic change would require significant late developments, such as unexpected economic data, candidate withdrawals, or broad voter realignment before the October 4 first round.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Ceará, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Ceará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Ceará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Ceará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Ceará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,021วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:26 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Lula maintains a commanding lead in Ceará for first place in the October 2026 presidential first round, with recent July and August polls from Quaest, Ipsos-Ipec, Datafolha, and Real Time Big Data showing him at 54-65% against Flávio Bolsonaro at 21-26% and all other candidates below 3%. This positioning reflects the state's consistent Northeast voting patterns, where Lula won every municipality in 2022, alongside stable federal government approval near 59% and limited traction for challengers such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, or Renan Santos. Official campaign activity began in mid-August following party conventions, with no major shifts reported in the past month. A realistic change would require significant late developments, such as unexpected economic data, candidate withdrawals, or broad voter realignment before the October 4 first round.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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