The open Senate race in Rio Grande do Sul for two seats on October 4, 2026, features no incumbents and a fragmented field of more than a dozen pre-candidates from parties including PT, PSOL, MDB, Novo, PL, PSDB, and Cidadania. Recent Genial/Quaest polling shows a technical tie among top contenders such as Manuela D'Ávila, Germano Rigotto, Paulo Pimenta, Marcel Van Hattem, and Ubiratan Sanderson, with first- and second-preference votes closely bunched in single digits to low teens. A July debate among eight pre-candidates highlighted shared themes like state debt and institutional issues without producing clear separation. Trader consensus on 2nd-place probabilities remains compressed because the multi-candidate structure and absence of dominant frontrunners keep outcomes highly sensitive to late shifts in alliances, turnout, and additional surveys.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTania Peres 28%
Milton Cardoso 25%
Renato Jaguarão 25%
Pimenta 23%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 4, 2026
Tania Peres
28%
Milton Cardoso
25%
Renato Jaguarão
25%
Pimenta
23%
Sanderson
21%
Frederico Antunes
21%
Marcel Van Hattem
19%
Rigotto
19%
Manuela D'Ávila
18%
Ric Jones
11%
Luciano do MLB
9%
Regis Ethur
8%
Daniela Mulheres Socialistas
8%
Tania Peres 28%
Milton Cardoso 25%
Renato Jaguarão 25%
Pimenta 23%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 4, 2026
Tania Peres
$59 ปริมาณ
28%
Milton Cardoso
$20 ปริมาณ
25%
Renato Jaguarão
$20 ปริมาณ
25%
Pimenta
$20 ปริมาณ
23%
Sanderson
$20 ปริมาณ
21%
Frederico Antunes
$20 ปริมาณ
21%
Marcel Van Hattem
$20 ปริมาณ
19%
Rigotto
$20 ปริมาณ
19%
Manuela D'Ávila
$20 ปริมาณ
18%
Ric Jones
$59 ปริมาณ
11%
Luciano do MLB
$101 ปริมาณ
9%
Regis Ethur
$87 ปริมาณ
8%
Daniela Mulheres Socialistas
$71 ปริมาณ
8%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The open Senate race in Rio Grande do Sul for two seats on October 4, 2026, features no incumbents and a fragmented field of more than a dozen pre-candidates from parties including PT, PSOL, MDB, Novo, PL, PSDB, and Cidadania. Recent Genial/Quaest polling shows a technical tie among top contenders such as Manuela D'Ávila, Germano Rigotto, Paulo Pimenta, Marcel Van Hattem, and Ubiratan Sanderson, with first- and second-preference votes closely bunched in single digits to low teens. A July debate among eight pre-candidates highlighted shared themes like state debt and institutional issues without producing clear separation. Trader consensus on 2nd-place probabilities remains compressed because the multi-candidate structure and absence of dominant frontrunners keep outcomes highly sensitive to late shifts in alliances, turnout, and additional surveys.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$536วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The open Senate race in Rio Grande do Sul for two seats on October 4, 2026, features no incumbents and a fragmented field of more than a dozen pre-candidates from parties including PT, PSOL, MDB, Novo, PL, PSDB, and Cidadania. Recent Genial/Quaest polling shows a technical tie among top contenders such as Manuela D'Ávila, Germano Rigotto, Paulo Pimenta, Marcel Van Hattem, and Ubiratan Sanderson, with first- and second-preference votes closely bunched in single digits to low teens. A July debate among eight pre-candidates highlighted shared themes like state debt and institutional issues without producing clear separation. Trader consensus on 2nd-place probabilities remains compressed because the multi-candidate structure and absence of dominant frontrunners keep outcomes highly sensitive to late shifts in alliances, turnout, and additional surveys.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$536วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The open Senate race in Rio Grande do Sul for two seats on October 4, 2026, features no incumbents and a fragmented field of more than a dozen pre-candidates from parties including PT, PSOL, MDB, Novo, PL, PSDB, and Cidadania. Recent Genial/Quaest polling shows a technical tie among top contenders such as Manuela D'Ávila, Germano Rigotto, Paulo Pimenta, Marcel Van Hattem, and Ubiratan Sanderson, with first- and second-preference votes closely bunched in single digits to low teens. A July debate among eight pre-candidates highlighted shared themes like state debt and institutional issues without producing clear separation. Trader consensus on 2nd-place probabilities remains compressed because the multi-candidate structure and absence of dominant frontrunners keep outcomes highly sensitive to late shifts in alliances, turnout, and additional surveys.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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