Traders assign Flavio Bolsonaro a dominant 94% implied probability of finishing first in Paraná’s presidential first round, reflecting the state’s consistent conservative voting patterns and strong regional alignment with Bolsonaro-aligned platforms on security, agriculture, and economic policy. This positioning draws from the family’s established voter base in southern Brazil and limited competition from national figures such as Lula, whose share sits near 3%. Potential shifts could occur if a prominent local challenger consolidates centrist or center-right support, if national economic conditions alter turnout among key agricultural or evangelical blocs, or if late developments change candidate eligibility or alliances ahead of the October vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Paraná
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Paraná
Flavio Bolsonaro 94%
Lula 3.3%
Renan Santos 1.3%
Zema <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
94%
Lula
3%
Renan Santos
1%
Zema
1%
Clariana Barao
1%
Hertz Dias
1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
1%
Edmilson Costa
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
1%
Pablo Marçal
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
1%
Samara
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 94%
Lula 3.3%
Renan Santos 1.3%
Zema <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
$2,310 ปริมาณ
94%
Lula
$127 ปริมาณ
3%
Renan Santos
$128 ปริมาณ
1%
Zema
$228 ปริมาณ
1%
Clariana Barao
$228 ปริมาณ
1%
Hertz Dias
$228 ปริมาณ
1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$228 ปริมาณ
1%
Edmilson Costa
$228 ปริมาณ
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$176 ปริมาณ
1%
Pablo Marçal
$210 ปริมาณ
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$262 ปริมาณ
1%
Samara
$240 ปริมาณ
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$152 ปริมาณ
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraná, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Traders assign Flavio Bolsonaro a dominant 94% implied probability of finishing first in Paraná’s presidential first round, reflecting the state’s consistent conservative voting patterns and strong regional alignment with Bolsonaro-aligned platforms on security, agriculture, and economic policy. This positioning draws from the family’s established voter base in southern Brazil and limited competition from national figures such as Lula, whose share sits near 3%. Potential shifts could occur if a prominent local challenger consolidates centrist or center-right support, if national economic conditions alter turnout among key agricultural or evangelical blocs, or if late developments change candidate eligibility or alliances ahead of the October vote.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraná, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,744วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraná, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Traders assign Flavio Bolsonaro a dominant 94% implied probability of finishing first in Paraná’s presidential first round, reflecting the state’s consistent conservative voting patterns and strong regional alignment with Bolsonaro-aligned platforms on security, agriculture, and economic policy. This positioning draws from the family’s established voter base in southern Brazil and limited competition from national figures such as Lula, whose share sits near 3%. Potential shifts could occur if a prominent local challenger consolidates centrist or center-right support, if national economic conditions alter turnout among key agricultural or evangelical blocs, or if late developments change candidate eligibility or alliances ahead of the October vote.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraná, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,744วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign Flavio Bolsonaro a dominant 94% implied probability of finishing first in Paraná’s presidential first round, reflecting the state’s consistent conservative voting patterns and strong regional alignment with Bolsonaro-aligned platforms on security, agriculture, and economic policy. This positioning draws from the family’s established voter base in southern Brazil and limited competition from national figures such as Lula, whose share sits near 3%. Potential shifts could occur if a prominent local challenger consolidates centrist or center-right support, if national economic conditions alter turnout among key agricultural or evangelical blocs, or if late developments change candidate eligibility or alliances ahead of the October vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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