Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding position in Espírito Santo first-round trading due to consistent state-level polling showing him ahead or statistically tied with Lula, often at 35-37% versus 30-34% in recent Quaest and Real Time Big Data surveys. The state has backed opposition candidates in the past four presidential contests, aligning with elevated federal government disapproval ratings near 53-55% among capixaba voters. Fragmented support for alternatives such as Renan Santos, Romeu Zema, Ronaldo Caiado, and Augusto Cury keeps their shares in single digits, while Flávio benefits from the Bolsonaro family legacy and Liberal Party mobilization. A late surge by undecided voters or shifts in turnout patterns could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to limited room for other contenders to overtake him before October 4.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วFlavio Bolsonaro 95%
Lula 4.0%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%
Rui Costa Pimenta <1%
$20,593 ปริมาณ
$20,593 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
95%
Lula
4%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Samara
<1%
Zema
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 95%
Lula 4.0%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%
Rui Costa Pimenta <1%
$20,593 ปริมาณ
$20,593 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
$9,434 ปริมาณ
95%
Lula
$879 ปริมาณ
4%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$1,245 ปริมาณ
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$640 ปริมาณ
<1%
Clariana Barao
$706 ปริมาณ
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$612 ปริมาณ
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$1,074 ปริมาณ
<1%
Renan Santos
$964 ปริมาณ
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$966 ปริมาณ
<1%
Hertz Dias
$1,119 ปริมาณ
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$993 ปริมาณ
<1%
Samara
$974 ปริมาณ
<1%
Zema
$988 ปริมาณ
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Espírito Santo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding position in Espírito Santo first-round trading due to consistent state-level polling showing him ahead or statistically tied with Lula, often at 35-37% versus 30-34% in recent Quaest and Real Time Big Data surveys. The state has backed opposition candidates in the past four presidential contests, aligning with elevated federal government disapproval ratings near 53-55% among capixaba voters. Fragmented support for alternatives such as Renan Santos, Romeu Zema, Ronaldo Caiado, and Augusto Cury keeps their shares in single digits, while Flávio benefits from the Bolsonaro family legacy and Liberal Party mobilization. A late surge by undecided voters or shifts in turnout patterns could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to limited room for other contenders to overtake him before October 4.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Espírito Santo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 6:26 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,593วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:26 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Espírito Santo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding position in Espírito Santo first-round trading due to consistent state-level polling showing him ahead or statistically tied with Lula, often at 35-37% versus 30-34% in recent Quaest and Real Time Big Data surveys. The state has backed opposition candidates in the past four presidential contests, aligning with elevated federal government disapproval ratings near 53-55% among capixaba voters. Fragmented support for alternatives such as Renan Santos, Romeu Zema, Ronaldo Caiado, and Augusto Cury keeps their shares in single digits, while Flávio benefits from the Bolsonaro family legacy and Liberal Party mobilization. A late surge by undecided voters or shifts in turnout patterns could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to limited room for other contenders to overtake him before October 4.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Espírito Santo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,593วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:26 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding position in Espírito Santo first-round trading due to consistent state-level polling showing him ahead or statistically tied with Lula, often at 35-37% versus 30-34% in recent Quaest and Real Time Big Data surveys. The state has backed opposition candidates in the past four presidential contests, aligning with elevated federal government disapproval ratings near 53-55% among capixaba voters. Fragmented support for alternatives such as Renan Santos, Romeu Zema, Ronaldo Caiado, and Augusto Cury keeps their shares in single digits, while Flávio benefits from the Bolsonaro family legacy and Liberal Party mobilization. A late surge by undecided voters or shifts in turnout patterns could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to limited room for other contenders to overtake him before October 4.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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