Lula maintains an edge in trader consensus for first place in Bahia's first-round presidential vote, reflecting the state's longstanding PT stronghold status in the Northeast and the incumbent's consistent regional polling advantages rooted in social program delivery and voter base loyalty. Flávio Bolsonaro leads the right-wing challenge as the Liberal Party nominee, drawing on family-aligned support, while candidates such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos split opposition votes in single digits nationally. Recent party conventions formalizing Lula's ticket with Geraldo Alckmin and confirming Flávio's bid have stabilized positioning ahead of the October 4 vote, with no major Bahia-specific shifts reported in the past month. The tight pricing among viable contenders highlights vote fragmentation risks and the potential for turnout or last-minute regional developments to widen or close gaps in this high-stakes state.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLula 89%
Escritor Augusto Cury 57%
Pablo Marçal 57%
Renan Santos 57%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
79%
Escritor Augusto Cury
57%
Pablo Marçal
57%
Renan Santos
57%
Edmilson Costa
57%
Hertz Dias
55%
Clariana Barao
55%
Flavio Bolsonaro
54%
Ronaldo Caiado
-
Rui Costa Pimenta
-
Samara
-
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
-
Zema
-
Lula 89%
Escritor Augusto Cury 57%
Pablo Marçal 57%
Renan Santos 57%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
$664 ปริมาณ
79%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$179 ปริมาณ
57%
Pablo Marçal
$179 ปริมาณ
57%
Renan Santos
$155 ปริมาณ
57%
Edmilson Costa
$179 ปริมาณ
57%
Hertz Dias
$175 ปริมาณ
55%
Clariana Barao
$174 ปริมาณ
55%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$173 ปริมาณ
54%
Ronaldo Caiado
$179 ปริมาณ
-
Rui Costa Pimenta
$167 ปริมาณ
-
Samara
$167 ปริมาณ
-
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$167 ปริมาณ
-
Zema
$167 ปริมาณ
-
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Bahia, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Bahia.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Bahia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains an edge in trader consensus for first place in Bahia's first-round presidential vote, reflecting the state's longstanding PT stronghold status in the Northeast and the incumbent's consistent regional polling advantages rooted in social program delivery and voter base loyalty. Flávio Bolsonaro leads the right-wing challenge as the Liberal Party nominee, drawing on family-aligned support, while candidates such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos split opposition votes in single digits nationally. Recent party conventions formalizing Lula's ticket with Geraldo Alckmin and confirming Flávio's bid have stabilized positioning ahead of the October 4 vote, with no major Bahia-specific shifts reported in the past month. The tight pricing among viable contenders highlights vote fragmentation risks and the potential for turnout or last-minute regional developments to widen or close gaps in this high-stakes state.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Bahia, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Bahia.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Bahia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Bahia.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Bahia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 6:26 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,726วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:26 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Bahia, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Bahia.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Bahia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains an edge in trader consensus for first place in Bahia's first-round presidential vote, reflecting the state's longstanding PT stronghold status in the Northeast and the incumbent's consistent regional polling advantages rooted in social program delivery and voter base loyalty. Flávio Bolsonaro leads the right-wing challenge as the Liberal Party nominee, drawing on family-aligned support, while candidates such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos split opposition votes in single digits nationally. Recent party conventions formalizing Lula's ticket with Geraldo Alckmin and confirming Flávio's bid have stabilized positioning ahead of the October 4 vote, with no major Bahia-specific shifts reported in the past month. The tight pricing among viable contenders highlights vote fragmentation risks and the potential for turnout or last-minute regional developments to widen or close gaps in this high-stakes state.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Bahia, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Bahia.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Bahia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Bahia.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Bahia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,726วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:26 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lula maintains an edge in trader consensus for first place in Bahia's first-round presidential vote, reflecting the state's longstanding PT stronghold status in the Northeast and the incumbent's consistent regional polling advantages rooted in social program delivery and voter base loyalty. Flávio Bolsonaro leads the right-wing challenge as the Liberal Party nominee, drawing on family-aligned support, while candidates such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos split opposition votes in single digits nationally. Recent party conventions formalizing Lula's ticket with Geraldo Alckmin and confirming Flávio's bid have stabilized positioning ahead of the October 4 vote, with no major Bahia-specific shifts reported in the past month. The tight pricing among viable contenders highlights vote fragmentation risks and the potential for turnout or last-minute regional developments to widen or close gaps in this high-stakes state.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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