Lula maintains a commanding lead in Alagoas first-round voting intentions, reflected in trader consensus near 97% for finishing first. Recent Quaest polling conducted August 20-23 shows the incumbent at 44% against 29% for Flávio Bolsonaro, with all other tested names—including Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, Augusto Cury, and smaller candidates—below 3%. This positioning stems from Lula’s entrenched regional support in the Northeast, where PT alignment and federal program reach sustain voter preference, alongside 52% government approval in the state. Flávio Bolsonaro’s recent campaign visit and local alliances have not closed the gap. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited but include unexpected consolidation of opposition votes or major late-campaign shifts in turnout among undecided or blank voters.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLula 96.7%
Flavio Bolsonaro 1.2%
Edmilson Costa <1%
Pablo Marçal <1%
$12,377 ปริมาณ
$12,377 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
97%
Flavio Bolsonaro
1%
Edmilson Costa
1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Samara
<1%
Zema
<1%
Lula 96.7%
Flavio Bolsonaro 1.2%
Edmilson Costa <1%
Pablo Marçal <1%
$12,377 ปริมาณ
$12,377 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
$6,979 ปริมาณ
97%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$506 ปริมาณ
1%
Edmilson Costa
$476 ปริมาณ
1%
Pablo Marçal
$476 ปริมาณ
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$476 ปริมาณ
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$476 ปริมาณ
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$476 ปริมาณ
<1%
Hertz Dias
$476 ปริมาณ
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$476 ปริมาณ
<1%
Renan Santos
$338 ปริมาณ
<1%
Clariana Barao
$476 ปริมาณ
<1%
Samara
$348 ปริมาณ
<1%
Zema
$396 ปริมาณ
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Alagoas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Alagoas first-round voting intentions, reflected in trader consensus near 97% for finishing first. Recent Quaest polling conducted August 20-23 shows the incumbent at 44% against 29% for Flávio Bolsonaro, with all other tested names—including Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, Augusto Cury, and smaller candidates—below 3%. This positioning stems from Lula’s entrenched regional support in the Northeast, where PT alignment and federal program reach sustain voter preference, alongside 52% government approval in the state. Flávio Bolsonaro’s recent campaign visit and local alliances have not closed the gap. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited but include unexpected consolidation of opposition votes or major late-campaign shifts in turnout among undecided or blank voters.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Alagoas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,377วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Alagoas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Alagoas first-round voting intentions, reflected in trader consensus near 97% for finishing first. Recent Quaest polling conducted August 20-23 shows the incumbent at 44% against 29% for Flávio Bolsonaro, with all other tested names—including Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, Augusto Cury, and smaller candidates—below 3%. This positioning stems from Lula’s entrenched regional support in the Northeast, where PT alignment and federal program reach sustain voter preference, alongside 52% government approval in the state. Flávio Bolsonaro’s recent campaign visit and local alliances have not closed the gap. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited but include unexpected consolidation of opposition votes or major late-campaign shifts in turnout among undecided or blank voters.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Alagoas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,377วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Lula maintains a commanding lead in Alagoas first-round voting intentions, reflected in trader consensus near 97% for finishing first. Recent Quaest polling conducted August 20-23 shows the incumbent at 44% against 29% for Flávio Bolsonaro, with all other tested names—including Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, Augusto Cury, and smaller candidates—below 3%. This positioning stems from Lula’s entrenched regional support in the Northeast, where PT alignment and federal program reach sustain voter preference, alongside 52% government approval in the state. Flávio Bolsonaro’s recent campaign visit and local alliances have not closed the gap. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited but include unexpected consolidation of opposition votes or major late-campaign shifts in turnout among undecided or blank voters.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย