Lula holds a commanding lead in trader expectations for first place in Piauí’s October 2026 first-round presidential vote, reflecting the state’s longstanding alignment with the Workers’ Party and the incumbent’s established support base in the Northeast. Piauí has consistently delivered strong margins for Lula in prior cycles due to regional voting patterns tied to social programs and party infrastructure. Recent campaign launches by Lula and main challenger Flávio Bolsonaro have not altered this dynamic in the state, where national polling tightness has yet to register meaningful shifts. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a sharp regional economic downturn or unexpected consolidation of opposition votes behind a single alternative, though both remain low-probability events before the first-round ballot.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLula 94.5%
Flavio Bolsonaro 4.8%
Rui Costa Pimenta <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
94%
Flavio Bolsonaro
5%
Rui Costa Pimenta
1%
Clariana Barao
1%
Samara
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Zema
<1%
Lula 94.5%
Flavio Bolsonaro 4.8%
Rui Costa Pimenta <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
$1,267 ปริมาณ
94%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$306 ปริมาณ
5%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$121 ปริมาณ
1%
Clariana Barao
$177 ปริมาณ
1%
Samara
$131 ปริมาณ
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$121 ปริมาณ
1%
Edmilson Costa
$121 ปริมาณ
<1%
Hertz Dias
$131 ปริมาณ
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$195 ปริมาณ
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$196 ปริมาณ
<1%
Renan Santos
$192 ปริมาณ
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$121 ปริมาณ
<1%
Zema
$191 ปริมาณ
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds a commanding lead in trader expectations for first place in Piauí’s October 2026 first-round presidential vote, reflecting the state’s longstanding alignment with the Workers’ Party and the incumbent’s established support base in the Northeast. Piauí has consistently delivered strong margins for Lula in prior cycles due to regional voting patterns tied to social programs and party infrastructure. Recent campaign launches by Lula and main challenger Flávio Bolsonaro have not altered this dynamic in the state, where national polling tightness has yet to register meaningful shifts. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a sharp regional economic downturn or unexpected consolidation of opposition votes behind a single alternative, though both remain low-probability events before the first-round ballot.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,263วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds a commanding lead in trader expectations for first place in Piauí’s October 2026 first-round presidential vote, reflecting the state’s longstanding alignment with the Workers’ Party and the incumbent’s established support base in the Northeast. Piauí has consistently delivered strong margins for Lula in prior cycles due to regional voting patterns tied to social programs and party infrastructure. Recent campaign launches by Lula and main challenger Flávio Bolsonaro have not altered this dynamic in the state, where national polling tightness has yet to register meaningful shifts. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a sharp regional economic downturn or unexpected consolidation of opposition votes behind a single alternative, though both remain low-probability events before the first-round ballot.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,263วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lula holds a commanding lead in trader expectations for first place in Piauí’s October 2026 first-round presidential vote, reflecting the state’s longstanding alignment with the Workers’ Party and the incumbent’s established support base in the Northeast. Piauí has consistently delivered strong margins for Lula in prior cycles due to regional voting patterns tied to social programs and party infrastructure. Recent campaign launches by Lula and main challenger Flávio Bolsonaro have not altered this dynamic in the state, where national polling tightness has yet to register meaningful shifts. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a sharp regional economic downturn or unexpected consolidation of opposition votes behind a single alternative, though both remain low-probability events before the first-round ballot.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย