Lula’s commanding position as the leading contender for first place in Pernambuco reflects his deep regional roots in the Northeast, where he was born and where Workers’ Party support has historically been strongest. National polling averages show the incumbent maintaining a comfortable first-round lead over right-wing challengers such as Flávio Bolsonaro, Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos, with Pernambuco surveys indicating particularly robust backing for Lula compared with southern and southeastern states. Recent developments, including the formal launch of his re-election bid and sustained advantages in regional approval metrics, have reinforced trader assessments of low likelihood for any other listed candidate to top the state ballot on October 4. The wide spread in implied probabilities captures Pernambuco’s predictable voting patterns relative to the more contested national picture.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Pernambuco
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Pernambuco
Lula 95%
Flavio Bolsonaro 2.7%
Renan Santos 2.4%
Clariana Barao 2.0%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
95%
Flavio Bolsonaro
3%
Renan Santos
2%
Clariana Barao
2%
Zema
2%
Hertz Dias
1%
Pablo Marçal
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
1%
Samara
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
1%
Edmilson Costa
1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Lula 95%
Flavio Bolsonaro 2.7%
Renan Santos 2.4%
Clariana Barao 2.0%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
$403 ปริมาณ
95%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$163 ปริมาณ
3%
Renan Santos
$149 ปริมาณ
2%
Clariana Barao
$149 ปริมาณ
2%
Zema
$164 ปริมาณ
2%
Hertz Dias
$162 ปริมาณ
1%
Pablo Marçal
$163 ปริมาณ
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$163 ปริมาณ
1%
Samara
$163 ปริมาณ
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$162 ปริมาณ
1%
Edmilson Costa
$163 ปริมาณ
1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$164 ปริมาณ
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$163 ปริมาณ
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula’s commanding position as the leading contender for first place in Pernambuco reflects his deep regional roots in the Northeast, where he was born and where Workers’ Party support has historically been strongest. National polling averages show the incumbent maintaining a comfortable first-round lead over right-wing challengers such as Flávio Bolsonaro, Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos, with Pernambuco surveys indicating particularly robust backing for Lula compared with southern and southeastern states. Recent developments, including the formal launch of his re-election bid and sustained advantages in regional approval metrics, have reinforced trader assessments of low likelihood for any other listed candidate to top the state ballot on October 4. The wide spread in implied probabilities captures Pernambuco’s predictable voting patterns relative to the more contested national picture.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,329วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula’s commanding position as the leading contender for first place in Pernambuco reflects his deep regional roots in the Northeast, where he was born and where Workers’ Party support has historically been strongest. National polling averages show the incumbent maintaining a comfortable first-round lead over right-wing challengers such as Flávio Bolsonaro, Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos, with Pernambuco surveys indicating particularly robust backing for Lula compared with southern and southeastern states. Recent developments, including the formal launch of his re-election bid and sustained advantages in regional approval metrics, have reinforced trader assessments of low likelihood for any other listed candidate to top the state ballot on October 4. The wide spread in implied probabilities captures Pernambuco’s predictable voting patterns relative to the more contested national picture.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,329วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lula’s commanding position as the leading contender for first place in Pernambuco reflects his deep regional roots in the Northeast, where he was born and where Workers’ Party support has historically been strongest. National polling averages show the incumbent maintaining a comfortable first-round lead over right-wing challengers such as Flávio Bolsonaro, Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos, with Pernambuco surveys indicating particularly robust backing for Lula compared with southern and southeastern states. Recent developments, including the formal launch of his re-election bid and sustained advantages in regional approval metrics, have reinforced trader assessments of low likelihood for any other listed candidate to top the state ballot on October 4. The wide spread in implied probabilities captures Pernambuco’s predictable voting patterns relative to the more contested national picture.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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