With the first round of Brazil’s 2026 presidential election set for October 4, trader consensus on first place in Maranhão remains tightly clustered near 45–50% across a broad field because the state’s Northeast electorate has historically favored Workers’ Party candidates while national polls show Lula leading Flávio Bolsonaro by roughly 5–10 points amid a fragmented opposition. Recent national surveys through mid-August continue to register double-digit undecided voters and low single-digit support for figures such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos, leaving ample room for regional turnout shifts, coalition realignments, or late campaign events to alter state-level ordering. The wide dispersion of prices reflects uncertainty over whether established PT strength in Maranhão will hold against any surge by right-leaning challengers.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Maranhão
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Maranhão
Escritor Augusto Cury 49%
Hertz Dias 49%
Lula 49%
Renan Santos 49%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 4, 2026
Escritor Augusto Cury
49%
Hertz Dias
49%
Lula
49%
Renan Santos
49%
Samara
49%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
49%
Flavio Bolsonaro
48%
Pablo Marçal
47%
Ronaldo Caiado
47%
Clariana Barao
46%
Edmilson Costa
45%
Rui Costa Pimenta
45%
Zema
45%
Escritor Augusto Cury 49%
Hertz Dias 49%
Lula 49%
Renan Santos 49%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 4, 2026
Escritor Augusto Cury
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
Hertz Dias
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
Lula
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
Renan Santos
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
Samara
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$0 ปริมาณ
48%
Pablo Marçal
$0 ปริมาณ
47%
Ronaldo Caiado
$0 ปริมาณ
47%
Clariana Barao
$0 ปริมาณ
46%
Edmilson Costa
$0 ปริมาณ
45%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$0 ปริมาณ
45%
Zema
$0 ปริมาณ
45%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Maranhão, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Maranhão.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Maranhão. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).With the first round of Brazil’s 2026 presidential election set for October 4, trader consensus on first place in Maranhão remains tightly clustered near 45–50% across a broad field because the state’s Northeast electorate has historically favored Workers’ Party candidates while national polls show Lula leading Flávio Bolsonaro by roughly 5–10 points amid a fragmented opposition. Recent national surveys through mid-August continue to register double-digit undecided voters and low single-digit support for figures such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos, leaving ample room for regional turnout shifts, coalition realignments, or late campaign events to alter state-level ordering. The wide dispersion of prices reflects uncertainty over whether established PT strength in Maranhão will hold against any surge by right-leaning challengers.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Maranhão, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Maranhão.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Maranhão. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Maranhão.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Maranhão. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 6:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Maranhão, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Maranhão.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Maranhão. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).With the first round of Brazil’s 2026 presidential election set for October 4, trader consensus on first place in Maranhão remains tightly clustered near 45–50% across a broad field because the state’s Northeast electorate has historically favored Workers’ Party candidates while national polls show Lula leading Flávio Bolsonaro by roughly 5–10 points amid a fragmented opposition. Recent national surveys through mid-August continue to register double-digit undecided voters and low single-digit support for figures such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos, leaving ample room for regional turnout shifts, coalition realignments, or late campaign events to alter state-level ordering. The wide dispersion of prices reflects uncertainty over whether established PT strength in Maranhão will hold against any surge by right-leaning challengers.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Maranhão, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Maranhão.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Maranhão. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Maranhão.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Maranhão. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With the first round of Brazil’s 2026 presidential election set for October 4, trader consensus on first place in Maranhão remains tightly clustered near 45–50% across a broad field because the state’s Northeast electorate has historically favored Workers’ Party candidates while national polls show Lula leading Flávio Bolsonaro by roughly 5–10 points amid a fragmented opposition. Recent national surveys through mid-August continue to register double-digit undecided voters and low single-digit support for figures such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos, leaving ample room for regional turnout shifts, coalition realignments, or late campaign events to alter state-level ordering. The wide dispersion of prices reflects uncertainty over whether established PT strength in Maranhão will hold against any surge by right-leaning challengers.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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