In Santa Catarina's open Senate race for two seats, trader sentiment on second place remains tightly balanced because a fragmented field of more than a dozen confirmed candidates from PL, PP, PT, PSOL, MDB and smaller parties produces overlapping support bases and no clear consolidation yet. Recent July polling showed the PL slate of Caroline de Toni and Carlos Bolsonaro leading overall, yet with Esperidião Amin, Décio Lima and several others clustered within a few points behind, while internal PL tensions and the arrival of the younger Bolsonaro have split bolsonarista voters without locking in a decisive order. Voter volatility ahead of the October ballot, combined with ongoing coalition negotiations and limited name recognition for many challengers, sustains the near-even implied probabilities across contenders.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSanta Catarina Senate Election: 2nd Place
Décio Lima 46%
Esperidião Amin 46%
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter 46%
Carlos Bolsonaro 46%

Décio Lima
46%

Esperidião Amin
46%

Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
46%

Carlos Bolsonaro
46%

Jeferson da Rocha
46%

Joaninha de Oliveira
45%

Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
45%

Lunelli
44%

Afrânio Boppré
44%

Marlene Soccas
43%

Carol de Toni
43%

Carol
42%

Marcos Dorval
39%
Décio Lima 46%
Esperidião Amin 46%
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter 46%
Carlos Bolsonaro 46%

Décio Lima
46%

Esperidião Amin
46%

Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
46%

Carlos Bolsonaro
46%

Jeferson da Rocha
46%

Joaninha de Oliveira
45%

Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
45%

Lunelli
44%

Afrânio Boppré
44%

Marlene Soccas
43%

Carol de Toni
43%

Carol
42%

Marcos Dorval
39%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In Santa Catarina's open Senate race for two seats, trader sentiment on second place remains tightly balanced because a fragmented field of more than a dozen confirmed candidates from PL, PP, PT, PSOL, MDB and smaller parties produces overlapping support bases and no clear consolidation yet. Recent July polling showed the PL slate of Caroline de Toni and Carlos Bolsonaro leading overall, yet with Esperidião Amin, Décio Lima and several others clustered within a few points behind, while internal PL tensions and the arrival of the younger Bolsonaro have split bolsonarista voters without locking in a decisive order. Voter volatility ahead of the October ballot, combined with ongoing coalition negotiations and limited name recognition for many challengers, sustains the near-even implied probabilities across contenders.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


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