The fragmented field of 13 confirmed candidates for Santa Catarina’s two Senate seats has kept first-place probabilities clustered near even, with recent party conventions finalizing slates in early August 2026 and no dominant frontrunner emerging yet. Marlene Soccas holds the highest implied probability at 27.5 percent, followed closely by Marcos Dorval and several others in the low-to-mid teens, reflecting trader consensus on a wide-open contest ahead of October voting. Limited early polling, diverse party affiliations, and the absence of major endorsements or scandals have prevented any single contender from pulling ahead. Scheduled campaign launches, alliance negotiations, and state-specific economic signals could quickly shift momentum and widen spreads before the first round.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSanta Catarina Senate Election: 1st Place
Santa Catarina Senate Election: 1st Place
Marcos Dorval 23%
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter 18%
Carol de Toni 16%
Lunelli 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 4, 2026
Marcos Dorval
23%
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
18%
Carol de Toni
24%
Lunelli
16%
Marlene Soccas
14%
Carlos Bolsonaro
12%
Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
11%
Afrânio Boppré
11%
Décio Lima
11%
Carol
10%
Jeferson da Rocha
9%
Esperidião Amin
9%
Joaninha de Oliveira
9%
Marcos Dorval 23%
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter 18%
Carol de Toni 16%
Lunelli 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 4, 2026
Marcos Dorval
$56 ปริมาณ
23%
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
$56 ปริมาณ
18%
Carol de Toni
$96 ปริมาณ
24%
Lunelli
$76 ปริมาณ
16%
Marlene Soccas
$56 ปริมาณ
14%
Carlos Bolsonaro
$95 ปริมาณ
12%
Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
$56 ปริมาณ
11%
Afrânio Boppré
$72 ปริมาณ
11%
Décio Lima
$72 ปริมาณ
11%
Carol
$56 ปริมาณ
10%
Jeferson da Rocha
$56 ปริมาณ
9%
Esperidião Amin
$56 ปริมาณ
9%
Joaninha de Oliveira
$102 ปริมาณ
9%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The fragmented field of 13 confirmed candidates for Santa Catarina’s two Senate seats has kept first-place probabilities clustered near even, with recent party conventions finalizing slates in early August 2026 and no dominant frontrunner emerging yet. Marlene Soccas holds the highest implied probability at 27.5 percent, followed closely by Marcos Dorval and several others in the low-to-mid teens, reflecting trader consensus on a wide-open contest ahead of October voting. Limited early polling, diverse party affiliations, and the absence of major endorsements or scandals have prevented any single contender from pulling ahead. Scheduled campaign launches, alliance negotiations, and state-specific economic signals could quickly shift momentum and widen spreads before the first round.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$905วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The fragmented field of 13 confirmed candidates for Santa Catarina’s two Senate seats has kept first-place probabilities clustered near even, with recent party conventions finalizing slates in early August 2026 and no dominant frontrunner emerging yet. Marlene Soccas holds the highest implied probability at 27.5 percent, followed closely by Marcos Dorval and several others in the low-to-mid teens, reflecting trader consensus on a wide-open contest ahead of October voting. Limited early polling, diverse party affiliations, and the absence of major endorsements or scandals have prevented any single contender from pulling ahead. Scheduled campaign launches, alliance negotiations, and state-specific economic signals could quickly shift momentum and widen spreads before the first round.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$905วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The fragmented field of 13 confirmed candidates for Santa Catarina’s two Senate seats has kept first-place probabilities clustered near even, with recent party conventions finalizing slates in early August 2026 and no dominant frontrunner emerging yet. Marlene Soccas holds the highest implied probability at 27.5 percent, followed closely by Marcos Dorval and several others in the low-to-mid teens, reflecting trader consensus on a wide-open contest ahead of October voting. Limited early polling, diverse party affiliations, and the absence of major endorsements or scandals have prevented any single contender from pulling ahead. Scheduled campaign launches, alliance negotiations, and state-specific economic signals could quickly shift momentum and widen spreads before the first round.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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