OPEC's reported crude oil production for May 2026 faces a sharp baseline reduction after the United Arab Emirates formally exited the organization effective May 1, removing approximately 3.4 million barrels per day from cartel totals. Ongoing Middle East disruptions, including constraints through the Strait of Hormuz amid the Iran conflict, already lowered March output to around 20.8 million barrels per day. In early May, eight core OPEC+ members including Saudi Arabia and Russia approved a modest 206,000 barrels per day quota adjustment for the month, followed by a similar 188,000 barrels per day step-up scheduled for June, though both moves remain largely symbolic given compliance challenges and supply interruptions. Resolution depends on secondary-source data in the June OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, with traders monitoring any further diplomatic signals or conflict developments that could influence actual output within the reporting window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใหม่
Jun 11, 2026
18 Million
28%
19 Million
27%
20 Million
14%
21 Million
8%
$4,042 ปริมาณ
18 Million
$704 ปริมาณ
28%
19 Million
$1,169 ปริมาณ
27%
20 Million
$1,185 ปริมาณ
14%
21 Million
$985 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OPEC crude oil production (barrels per day) for the month of May, 2026, as reported in the June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report is scheduled to be published on June 11, 2026
The relevant figure is the Total OPEC crude oil production for the month of May 2026, as reported by secondary sources. This figure is typically published in thousands of barrels per day in the row labeled “Total OPEC” of Table 5-7 of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report (DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d). The figure will be converted to barrels per day for resolution.
Crude oil production for non-OPEC (including OPEC+) countries will not be considered.
If the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for June 2026 is not released by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, or if it is released and the relevant data is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be the June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, typically published at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of specificity that will be used to resolve this market.OPEC's reported crude oil production for May 2026 faces a sharp baseline reduction after the United Arab Emirates formally exited the organization effective May 1, removing approximately 3.4 million barrels per day from cartel totals. Ongoing Middle East disruptions, including constraints through the Strait of Hormuz amid the Iran conflict, already lowered March output to around 20.8 million barrels per day. In early May, eight core OPEC+ members including Saudi Arabia and Russia approved a modest 206,000 barrels per day quota adjustment for the month, followed by a similar 188,000 barrels per day step-up scheduled for June, though both moves remain largely symbolic given compliance challenges and supply interruptions. Resolution depends on secondary-source data in the June OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, with traders monitoring any further diplomatic signals or conflict developments that could influence actual output within the reporting window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OPEC crude oil production (barrels per day) for the month of May, 2026, as reported in the June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report is scheduled to be published on June 11, 2026
The relevant figure is the Total OPEC crude oil production for the month of May 2026, as reported by secondary sources. This figure is typically published in thousands of barrels per day in the row labeled “Total OPEC” of Table 5-7 of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report (DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d). The figure will be converted to barrels per day for resolution.
Crude oil production for non-OPEC (including OPEC+) countries will not be considered.
If the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for June 2026 is not released by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, or if it is released and the relevant data is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be the June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, typically published at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of specificity that will be used to resolve this market.
The June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report is scheduled to be published on June 11, 2026
The relevant figure is the Total OPEC crude oil production for the month of May 2026, as reported by secondary sources. This figure is typically published in thousands of barrels per day in the row labeled “Total OPEC” of Table 5-7 of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report (DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d). The figure will be converted to barrels per day for resolution.
Crude oil production for non-OPEC (including OPEC+) countries will not be considered.
If the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for June 2026 is not released by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, or if it is released and the relevant data is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be the June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, typically published at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of specificity that will be used to resolve this market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 28, 2026, 7:05 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,042วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 28, 2026, 7:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if OPEC crude oil production (barrels per day) for the month of May, 2026, as reported in the June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report is scheduled to be published on June 11, 2026
The relevant figure is the Total OPEC crude oil production for the month of May 2026, as reported by secondary sources. This figure is typically published in thousands of barrels per day in the row labeled “Total OPEC” of Table 5-7 of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report (DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d). The figure will be converted to barrels per day for resolution.
Crude oil production for non-OPEC (including OPEC+) countries will not be considered.
If the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for June 2026 is not released by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, or if it is released and the relevant data is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be the June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, typically published at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of specificity that will be used to resolve this market.OPEC's reported crude oil production for May 2026 faces a sharp baseline reduction after the United Arab Emirates formally exited the organization effective May 1, removing approximately 3.4 million barrels per day from cartel totals. Ongoing Middle East disruptions, including constraints through the Strait of Hormuz amid the Iran conflict, already lowered March output to around 20.8 million barrels per day. In early May, eight core OPEC+ members including Saudi Arabia and Russia approved a modest 206,000 barrels per day quota adjustment for the month, followed by a similar 188,000 barrels per day step-up scheduled for June, though both moves remain largely symbolic given compliance challenges and supply interruptions. Resolution depends on secondary-source data in the June OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, with traders monitoring any further diplomatic signals or conflict developments that could influence actual output within the reporting window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OPEC crude oil production (barrels per day) for the month of May, 2026, as reported in the June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report is scheduled to be published on June 11, 2026
The relevant figure is the Total OPEC crude oil production for the month of May 2026, as reported by secondary sources. This figure is typically published in thousands of barrels per day in the row labeled “Total OPEC” of Table 5-7 of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report (DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d). The figure will be converted to barrels per day for resolution.
Crude oil production for non-OPEC (including OPEC+) countries will not be considered.
If the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for June 2026 is not released by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, or if it is released and the relevant data is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be the June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, typically published at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of specificity that will be used to resolve this market.
The June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report is scheduled to be published on June 11, 2026
The relevant figure is the Total OPEC crude oil production for the month of May 2026, as reported by secondary sources. This figure is typically published in thousands of barrels per day in the row labeled “Total OPEC” of Table 5-7 of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report (DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d). The figure will be converted to barrels per day for resolution.
Crude oil production for non-OPEC (including OPEC+) countries will not be considered.
If the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for June 2026 is not released by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, or if it is released and the relevant data is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be the June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, typically published at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of specificity that will be used to resolve this market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,042วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 28, 2026, 7:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OPEC's reported crude oil production for May 2026 faces a sharp baseline reduction after the United Arab Emirates formally exited the organization effective May 1, removing approximately 3.4 million barrels per day from cartel totals. Ongoing Middle East disruptions, including constraints through the Strait of Hormuz amid the Iran conflict, already lowered March output to around 20.8 million barrels per day. In early May, eight core OPEC+ members including Saudi Arabia and Russia approved a modest 206,000 barrels per day quota adjustment for the month, followed by a similar 188,000 barrels per day step-up scheduled for June, though both moves remain largely symbolic given compliance challenges and supply interruptions. Resolution depends on secondary-source data in the June OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, with traders monitoring any further diplomatic signals or conflict developments that could influence actual output within the reporting window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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