The UAE's withdrawal from OPEC and OPEC+, announced April 28 and effective May 1, 2026, has already reduced the group to 11 members amid quota frustrations and geopolitical pressures from regional conflicts affecting Gulf exports. No other member has signaled an exit since then. Recent OPEC+ ministerial meetings through August 2026, involving Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait, Algeria, and others, show continued coordination on voluntary production adjustments to support market stability. Remaining producers face varying constraints on capacity and revenue needs but lack comparable incentives or public statements indicating imminent departures. Trader consensus at 93% for no additional exits by year-end reflects this absence of fresh announcements or disputes capable of prompting further withdrawals in the remaining months.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWill another country leave OPEC in 2026?
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
7% โอกาส
$160,131 ปริมาณ
$160,131 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
7% โอกาส
$160,131 ปริมาณ
$160,131 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The UAE's withdrawal from OPEC and OPEC+, announced April 28 and effective May 1, 2026, has already reduced the group to 11 members amid quota frustrations and geopolitical pressures from regional conflicts affecting Gulf exports. No other member has signaled an exit since then. Recent OPEC+ ministerial meetings through August 2026, involving Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait, Algeria, and others, show continued coordination on voluntary production adjustments to support market stability. Remaining producers face varying constraints on capacity and revenue needs but lack comparable incentives or public statements indicating imminent departures. Trader consensus at 93% for no additional exits by year-end reflects this absence of fresh announcements or disputes capable of prompting further withdrawals in the remaining months.
On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 28, 2026, 1:11 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$160,131วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 28, 2026, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The UAE's withdrawal from OPEC and OPEC+, announced April 28 and effective May 1, 2026, has already reduced the group to 11 members amid quota frustrations and geopolitical pressures from regional conflicts affecting Gulf exports. No other member has signaled an exit since then. Recent OPEC+ ministerial meetings through August 2026, involving Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait, Algeria, and others, show continued coordination on voluntary production adjustments to support market stability. Remaining producers face varying constraints on capacity and revenue needs but lack comparable incentives or public statements indicating imminent departures. Trader consensus at 93% for no additional exits by year-end reflects this absence of fresh announcements or disputes capable of prompting further withdrawals in the remaining months.
On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$160,131วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 28, 2026, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The UAE's withdrawal from OPEC and OPEC+, announced April 28 and effective May 1, 2026, has already reduced the group to 11 members amid quota frustrations and geopolitical pressures from regional conflicts affecting Gulf exports. No other member has signaled an exit since then. Recent OPEC+ ministerial meetings through August 2026, involving Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait, Algeria, and others, show continued coordination on voluntary production adjustments to support market stability. Remaining producers face varying constraints on capacity and revenue needs but lack comparable incentives or public statements indicating imminent departures. Trader consensus at 93% for no additional exits by year-end reflects this absence of fresh announcements or disputes capable of prompting further withdrawals in the remaining months.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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