Wellington, New Zealand, sits at the convergence of the Roaring Forties and the narrow Cook Strait, where westerly flows are routinely accelerated into frequent gale-force gusts, especially during spring. Early September 2026 observations and short-range models show sustained northwesterlies of 20–30 mph with peak gusts reaching 20–24 m/s (72–86 km/h) through the first week, consistent with climatological norms but not yet producing extreme events. Trader sentiment remains tightly balanced because September’s longer-range outlook hinges on the frequency and intensity of subsequent cold fronts and low-pressure systems, whose track and strength carry substantial ensemble spread. A single well-placed extratropical cyclone or amplified jet-stream episode could push airport or hilltop gusts above the 102 km/h threshold, while a quieter pattern would favor outcomes below 90 km/h.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPeak wind gust in the world's windiest city in September
102 km/h or above 48%
90 to 101 km/h 47%
89 km/h or below 46%
89 km/h or below
46%
90 to 101 km/h
47%
102 km/h or above
48%
102 km/h or above 48%
90 to 101 km/h 47%
89 km/h or below 46%
89 km/h or below
46%
90 to 101 km/h
47%
102 km/h or above
48%
The resolution source for this market is the gust value in the wind group of NZWN's raw METAR/SPECI observations, encoded in knots (for example, "34020G45KT" denotes a 45-knot gust), as archived by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet (IEM) for station NZWN in network NF__ASOS ("New Zealand ASOS"). Gust speed is converted from knots using 1 kt = 1.852 km/h, rounded half-up to the nearest whole number. Because gusts are reported in whole knots, no observed gust converts to a value on a bracket boundary, so every observation maps to exactly one range.
The month's highest gust can be located via the IEM Data Calendar for NZWN: https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/sites/hist.phtml?network=NF__ASOS&year=2026&month=9&mode=monthly&station=NZWN. Each calendar day displays that day's peak gust inline; clicking a day's date opens the daily Summary for NF__ASOS, where the Peak Gust column in the NZWN (Wellington) row shows the day's maximum. Ensure station NZWN is selected, as the NF__ASOS network includes other New Zealand stations. Note that the IEM calendar and summary pages display gusts in mph; resolution is based on the knot value in the underlying raw METAR, which IEM archives alongside each parsed observation and which can be used to independently verify any value.
If any observations are missing or unavailable, this market will resolve to the range containing the highest gust reported during the resolution window. Should the IEM archive be unavailable or discontinued, this market will resolve based on the equivalent raw METAR/SPECI observations for NZWN from another credible archive or the original reporting authority.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 9:46 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is the gust value in the wind group of NZWN's raw METAR/SPECI observations, encoded in knots (for example, "34020G45KT" denotes a 45-knot gust), as archived by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet (IEM) for station NZWN in network NF__ASOS ("New Zealand ASOS"). Gust speed is converted from knots using 1 kt = 1.852 km/h, rounded half-up to the nearest whole number. Because gusts are reported in whole knots, no observed gust converts to a value on a bracket boundary, so every observation maps to exactly one range.
The month's highest gust can be located via the IEM Data Calendar for NZWN: https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/sites/hist.phtml?network=NF__ASOS&year=2026&month=9&mode=monthly&station=NZWN. Each calendar day displays that day's peak gust inline; clicking a day's date opens the daily Summary for NF__ASOS, where the Peak Gust column in the NZWN (Wellington) row shows the day's maximum. Ensure station NZWN is selected, as the NF__ASOS network includes other New Zealand stations. Note that the IEM calendar and summary pages display gusts in mph; resolution is based on the knot value in the underlying raw METAR, which IEM archives alongside each parsed observation and which can be used to independently verify any value.
If any observations are missing or unavailable, this market will resolve to the range containing the highest gust reported during the resolution window. Should the IEM archive be unavailable or discontinued, this market will resolve based on the equivalent raw METAR/SPECI observations for NZWN from another credible archive or the original reporting authority.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Wellington, New Zealand, sits at the convergence of the Roaring Forties and the narrow Cook Strait, where westerly flows are routinely accelerated into frequent gale-force gusts, especially during spring. Early September 2026 observations and short-range models show sustained northwesterlies of 20–30 mph with peak gusts reaching 20–24 m/s (72–86 km/h) through the first week, consistent with climatological norms but not yet producing extreme events. Trader sentiment remains tightly balanced because September’s longer-range outlook hinges on the frequency and intensity of subsequent cold fronts and low-pressure systems, whose track and strength carry substantial ensemble spread. A single well-placed extratropical cyclone or amplified jet-stream episode could push airport or hilltop gusts above the 102 km/h threshold, while a quieter pattern would favor outcomes below 90 km/h.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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