The People's Bank of China has maintained its key lending benchmarks, including the one-year loan prime rate at 3.00% and five-year rate at 3.50%, for twelve consecutive months through May 2026, aligning with trader expectations of no change in June. This pattern reflects a moderately loose monetary policy stance focused on ample interbank liquidity and targeted support rather than broad benchmark adjustments, amid mixed economic signals such as softening industrial output alongside resilient early-2026 growth that has reduced immediate stimulus pressure. Bank net interest margins near historic lows further constrain aggressive easing. A sudden escalation in domestic lending weakness or external shocks could prompt reconsideration, though recent quarterly communications and data trends support the high implied probability of stability through the resolution window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPeople's Bank of China rate change in June?
People's Bank of China rate change in June?
No Change 97.1%
Decrease 1.3%
Increase <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 30, 2026
Increase
<1%
No Change
97%
Decrease
1%
No Change 97.1%
Decrease 1.3%
Increase <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 30, 2026
Increase
$486 ปริมาณ
<1%
No Change
$308 ปริมาณ
97%
Decrease
$89 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between June 1 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.The People's Bank of China has maintained its key lending benchmarks, including the one-year loan prime rate at 3.00% and five-year rate at 3.50%, for twelve consecutive months through May 2026, aligning with trader expectations of no change in June. This pattern reflects a moderately loose monetary policy stance focused on ample interbank liquidity and targeted support rather than broad benchmark adjustments, amid mixed economic signals such as softening industrial output alongside resilient early-2026 growth that has reduced immediate stimulus pressure. Bank net interest margins near historic lows further constrain aggressive easing. A sudden escalation in domestic lending weakness or external shocks could prompt reconsideration, though recent quarterly communications and data trends support the high implied probability of stability through the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between June 1 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 1, 2026, 6:29 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$883วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 1, 2026, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between June 1 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.The People's Bank of China has maintained its key lending benchmarks, including the one-year loan prime rate at 3.00% and five-year rate at 3.50%, for twelve consecutive months through May 2026, aligning with trader expectations of no change in June. This pattern reflects a moderately loose monetary policy stance focused on ample interbank liquidity and targeted support rather than broad benchmark adjustments, amid mixed economic signals such as softening industrial output alongside resilient early-2026 growth that has reduced immediate stimulus pressure. Bank net interest margins near historic lows further constrain aggressive easing. A sudden escalation in domestic lending weakness or external shocks could prompt reconsideration, though recent quarterly communications and data trends support the high implied probability of stability through the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between June 1 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$883วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 1, 2026, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The People's Bank of China has maintained its key lending benchmarks, including the one-year loan prime rate at 3.00% and five-year rate at 3.50%, for twelve consecutive months through May 2026, aligning with trader expectations of no change in June. This pattern reflects a moderately loose monetary policy stance focused on ample interbank liquidity and targeted support rather than broad benchmark adjustments, amid mixed economic signals such as softening industrial output alongside resilient early-2026 growth that has reduced immediate stimulus pressure. Bank net interest margins near historic lows further constrain aggressive easing. A sudden escalation in domestic lending weakness or external shocks could prompt reconsideration, though recent quarterly communications and data trends support the high implied probability of stability through the resolution window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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