Jon Rahm's commanding position after a 67 in Saturday's blustery third round at Aronimink has solidified his 37.5 percent implied probability as the 2026 PGA Championship leader, reflecting strong strokes-gained around the green and precise course management that moved him into a share of the lead at four under. Ludvig Åberg sits second in the market at 15.4 percent on the strength of consistent scoring and momentum toward his first major title, while Alex Smalley's 13.6 percent follows his steady positioning inside the top of the leaderboard. Rory McIlroy's 12.5 percent captures his experience in majors despite trailing the frontrunners, with the remaining field showing limited upside given the tight Sunday window and current gaps. These probabilities mirror the wisdom of crowds reacting to confirmed round-three results and final-round dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วJon Rahm 23.0%
Ludvig Aberg 19.8%
Rory McIlroy 13.6%
Alex Smalley 13.3%
$6,949,001 ปริมาณ
$6,949,001 ปริมาณ
Jon Rahm
23%
Ludvig Aberg
20%
Rory McIlroy
14%
Alex Smalley
13%
Aaron Rai
9%
Cameron Smith
6%
Nick Taylor
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Matti Schmid
2%
Joaquin Niemann
2%
Justin Rose
2%
Justin Thomas
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Scottie Scheffler
1%
Chris Gotterup
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Harris English
<1%
Patrick Reed
<1%
Brooks Koepka
<1%
Hideki Matsuyama
<1%
Cameron Young
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Sam Burns
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Min Woo Lee
<1%
Rickie Fowler
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
David Puig
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Matt Wallace
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Elvis Smylie
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
Jon Rahm 23.0%
Ludvig Aberg 19.8%
Rory McIlroy 13.6%
Alex Smalley 13.3%
$6,949,001 ปริมาณ
$6,949,001 ปริมาณ
Jon Rahm
23%
Ludvig Aberg
20%
Rory McIlroy
14%
Alex Smalley
13%
Aaron Rai
9%
Cameron Smith
6%
Nick Taylor
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Matti Schmid
2%
Joaquin Niemann
2%
Justin Rose
2%
Justin Thomas
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Scottie Scheffler
1%
Chris Gotterup
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Harris English
<1%
Patrick Reed
<1%
Brooks Koepka
<1%
Hideki Matsuyama
<1%
Cameron Young
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Sam Burns
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Min Woo Lee
<1%
Rickie Fowler
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
David Puig
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Matt Wallace
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Elvis Smylie
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Jon Rahm's commanding position after a 67 in Saturday's blustery third round at Aronimink has solidified his 37.5 percent implied probability as the 2026 PGA Championship leader, reflecting strong strokes-gained around the green and precise course management that moved him into a share of the lead at four under. Ludvig Åberg sits second in the market at 15.4 percent on the strength of consistent scoring and momentum toward his first major title, while Alex Smalley's 13.6 percent follows his steady positioning inside the top of the leaderboard. Rory McIlroy's 12.5 percent captures his experience in majors despite trailing the frontrunners, with the remaining field showing limited upside given the tight Sunday window and current gaps. These probabilities mirror the wisdom of crowds reacting to confirmed round-three results and final-round dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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