The 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club features a tightly contested field where no single golfer holds a dominant edge, as reflected in the bunched top probabilities. Alex Smalley’s lead stems from his strong recent ball-striking and current leaderboard position, while Jon Rahm and Ludvig Åberg sit close behind due to their proven major resilience and recent form gains. Rory McIlroy’s positioning draws from his historical major success and course history at similar layouts. The competitive balance arises from multiple players posting comparable strokes-gained numbers, with factors like course setup rewarding accuracy over raw distance and several contenders entering with fresh momentum or favorable recent results that keep implied probabilities within a narrow range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAlex Smalley 17.1%
Jon Rahm 14.7%
Ludvig Aberg 13.7%
Rory McIlroy 12.3%
$5,686,255 ปริมาณ
$5,686,255 ปริมาณ
Alex Smalley
17%
Jon Rahm
15%
Ludvig Aberg
14%
Rory McIlroy
12%
Xander Schauffele
7%
Nick Taylor
5%
Scottie Scheffler
5%
Aaron Rai
4%
Patrick Reed
3%
Maverick McNealy
3%
Matti Schmid
3%
Chris Gotterup
2%
Min Woo Lee
2%
Hideki Matsuyama
2%
Justin Rose
2%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Kristoffer Reitan
1%
Brooks Koepka
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Cameron Young
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Rickie Fowler
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
David Puig
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Justin Thomas
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Harris English
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Matt Wallace
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Elvis Smylie
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
Alex Smalley 17.1%
Jon Rahm 14.7%
Ludvig Aberg 13.7%
Rory McIlroy 12.3%
$5,686,255 ปริมาณ
$5,686,255 ปริมาณ
Alex Smalley
17%
Jon Rahm
15%
Ludvig Aberg
14%
Rory McIlroy
12%
Xander Schauffele
7%
Nick Taylor
5%
Scottie Scheffler
5%
Aaron Rai
4%
Patrick Reed
3%
Maverick McNealy
3%
Matti Schmid
3%
Chris Gotterup
2%
Min Woo Lee
2%
Hideki Matsuyama
2%
Justin Rose
2%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Kristoffer Reitan
1%
Brooks Koepka
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Cameron Young
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Rickie Fowler
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
David Puig
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Justin Thomas
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Harris English
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Matt Wallace
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Elvis Smylie
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club features a tightly contested field where no single golfer holds a dominant edge, as reflected in the bunched top probabilities. Alex Smalley’s lead stems from his strong recent ball-striking and current leaderboard position, while Jon Rahm and Ludvig Åberg sit close behind due to their proven major resilience and recent form gains. Rory McIlroy’s positioning draws from his historical major success and course history at similar layouts. The competitive balance arises from multiple players posting comparable strokes-gained numbers, with factors like course setup rewarding accuracy over raw distance and several contenders entering with fresh momentum or favorable recent results that keep implied probabilities within a narrow range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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