Following the Reserve Bank of Australia’s May 5 decision to raise the cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.35 percent, market-implied odds favor no change at the June 16 meeting as the board assesses the cumulative impact of three consecutive hikes this year. Elevated headline inflation, now projected to peak near 4.8 percent in the June quarter amid higher fuel costs from Middle East supply disruptions, and persistent trimmed-mean readings above 3 percent have kept policy restrictive. Recent labor-market data showing modest cooling in capacity pressures, combined with the central bank’s post-meeting guidance that current settings provide room to monitor second-round effects, support the strong consensus for a hold. Traders are watching the next inflation release and employment figures for any signals that could shift the rate path before the June decision.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNo Change 86%
Increase 21%
Decrease <1%
$25,472 ปริมาณ
$25,472 ปริมาณ
Jun 16, 2026
Decrease
<1%
No Change
81%
Increase
21%
No Change 86%
Increase 21%
Decrease <1%
$25,472 ปริมาณ
$25,472 ปริมาณ
Jun 16, 2026
Decrease
$7,827 ปริมาณ
<1%
No Change
$8,800 ปริมาณ
81%
Increase
$8,845 ปริมาณ
21%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.Following the Reserve Bank of Australia’s May 5 decision to raise the cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.35 percent, market-implied odds favor no change at the June 16 meeting as the board assesses the cumulative impact of three consecutive hikes this year. Elevated headline inflation, now projected to peak near 4.8 percent in the June quarter amid higher fuel costs from Middle East supply disruptions, and persistent trimmed-mean readings above 3 percent have kept policy restrictive. Recent labor-market data showing modest cooling in capacity pressures, combined with the central bank’s post-meeting guidance that current settings provide room to monitor second-round effects, support the strong consensus for a hold. Traders are watching the next inflation release and employment figures for any signals that could shift the rate path before the June decision.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,472วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.Following the Reserve Bank of Australia’s May 5 decision to raise the cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.35 percent, market-implied odds favor no change at the June 16 meeting as the board assesses the cumulative impact of three consecutive hikes this year. Elevated headline inflation, now projected to peak near 4.8 percent in the June quarter amid higher fuel costs from Middle East supply disruptions, and persistent trimmed-mean readings above 3 percent have kept policy restrictive. Recent labor-market data showing modest cooling in capacity pressures, combined with the central bank’s post-meeting guidance that current settings provide room to monitor second-round effects, support the strong consensus for a hold. Traders are watching the next inflation release and employment figures for any signals that could shift the rate path before the June decision.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,472วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Following the Reserve Bank of Australia’s May 5 decision to raise the cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.35 percent, market-implied odds favor no change at the June 16 meeting as the board assesses the cumulative impact of three consecutive hikes this year. Elevated headline inflation, now projected to peak near 4.8 percent in the June quarter amid higher fuel costs from Middle East supply disruptions, and persistent trimmed-mean readings above 3 percent have kept policy restrictive. Recent labor-market data showing modest cooling in capacity pressures, combined with the central bank’s post-meeting guidance that current settings provide room to monitor second-round effects, support the strong consensus for a hold. Traders are watching the next inflation release and employment figures for any signals that could shift the rate path before the June decision.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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