SpaceX’s post-IPO share price, now near $143 and implying a roughly $1.9 trillion market cap after June 2026 listing at $1.77 trillion, anchors trader expectations for end-October 2026 resolution. Q2 results showed connectivity and AI revenue surging, with Starlink subscribers exceeding 10 million and AI compute deals expanding, yet heavy R&D and infrastructure capex produced operating losses and elevated multiples near 65 times sales. Analysts highlight the AI segment’s contribution to forward EBITDA while noting risks from 90-day terminable contracts and upcoming share unlocks that could pressure near-term pricing. With only two months to resolution, fresh earnings, launch cadence, and any Starship or regulatory milestones remain the key swing factors in the current $1.50–1.75 trillion leading band.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$2.25T+ 35%
$1.25-$1.50T 32%
$1.50-$1.75T 23%
$2.00-$2.25T 23%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 31, 2026
<$1.00T
6%
$1.00-$1.25T
5%
$1.25-$1.50T
32%
$1.50-$1.75T
23%
$1.75-$2.00T
21%
$2.00-$2.25T
23%
$2.25T+
42%
$2.25T+ 35%
$1.25-$1.50T 32%
$1.50-$1.75T 23%
$2.00-$2.25T 23%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 31, 2026
<$1.00T
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
$1.00-$1.25T
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
$1.25-$1.50T
$0 ปริมาณ
32%
$1.50-$1.75T
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
$1.75-$2.00T
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
$2.00-$2.25T
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
$2.25T+
$477 ปริมาณ
42%
This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.SpaceX’s post-IPO share price, now near $143 and implying a roughly $1.9 trillion market cap after June 2026 listing at $1.77 trillion, anchors trader expectations for end-October 2026 resolution. Q2 results showed connectivity and AI revenue surging, with Starlink subscribers exceeding 10 million and AI compute deals expanding, yet heavy R&D and infrastructure capex produced operating losses and elevated multiples near 65 times sales. Analysts highlight the AI segment’s contribution to forward EBITDA while noting risks from 90-day terminable contracts and upcoming share unlocks that could pressure near-term pricing. With only two months to resolution, fresh earnings, launch cadence, and any Starship or regulatory milestones remain the key swing factors in the current $1.50–1.75 trillion leading band.
This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 24, 2026, 7:15 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$477วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 24, 2026, 7:15 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.SpaceX’s post-IPO share price, now near $143 and implying a roughly $1.9 trillion market cap after June 2026 listing at $1.77 trillion, anchors trader expectations for end-October 2026 resolution. Q2 results showed connectivity and AI revenue surging, with Starlink subscribers exceeding 10 million and AI compute deals expanding, yet heavy R&D and infrastructure capex produced operating losses and elevated multiples near 65 times sales. Analysts highlight the AI segment’s contribution to forward EBITDA while noting risks from 90-day terminable contracts and upcoming share unlocks that could pressure near-term pricing. With only two months to resolution, fresh earnings, launch cadence, and any Starship or regulatory milestones remain the key swing factors in the current $1.50–1.75 trillion leading band.
This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$477วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 24, 2026, 7:15 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX’s post-IPO share price, now near $143 and implying a roughly $1.9 trillion market cap after June 2026 listing at $1.77 trillion, anchors trader expectations for end-October 2026 resolution. Q2 results showed connectivity and AI revenue surging, with Starlink subscribers exceeding 10 million and AI compute deals expanding, yet heavy R&D and infrastructure capex produced operating losses and elevated multiples near 65 times sales. Analysts highlight the AI segment’s contribution to forward EBITDA while noting risks from 90-day terminable contracts and upcoming share unlocks that could pressure near-term pricing. With only two months to resolution, fresh earnings, launch cadence, and any Starship or regulatory milestones remain the key swing factors in the current $1.50–1.75 trillion leading band.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วที่เกี่ยวข้อง
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of September 2026?
42%
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of August 2026?
69%
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of October 2026?
49%
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