Tennessee's solidly Republican lean shapes the current market pricing for the November 2026 gubernatorial margin, with Marsha Blackburn's primary victory over John Rose and Monty Fritts positioning her as the clear GOP nominee against Democrat Jerri Green. Recent primary results and polling averages showing a roughly 20-point Republican edge align with historical patterns in the state, where open-seat races still favor the party that carried the presidential vote by nearly 30 points in 2024. Trader consensus clusters around 10-25 point margins because Tennessee's electorate and structural advantages have produced consistent double-digit Republican wins in recent cycles, while low odds on a Democratic victory or sub-10 point result reflect limited competitive pathways. Key upcoming factors that could widen or narrow the spread include general-election turnout in urban and suburban areas, any late national political developments, and the impact of candidate messaging on independent voters.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTennessee Governor Election Margin of Victory
Tennessee Governor Election Margin of Victory
Republican 10-15% 23%
Republican 20-25% 20%
Republican 15-20% 20%
Republican 25-30% 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican 40%+
7%
Republican 35-40%
7%
Republican 30-35%
7%
Republican 25-30%
12%
Republican 20-25%
20%
Republican 15-20%
20%
Republican 10-15%
23%
Republican 5-10%
6%
Republican 0-5%
2%
Democrat Wins
1%
Republican 10-15% 23%
Republican 20-25% 20%
Republican 15-20% 20%
Republican 25-30% 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican 40%+
$219 ปริมาณ
7%
Republican 35-40%
$149 ปริมาณ
7%
Republican 30-35%
$112 ปริมาณ
7%
Republican 25-30%
$112 ปริมาณ
12%
Republican 20-25%
$124 ปริมาณ
20%
Republican 15-20%
$161 ปริมาณ
20%
Republican 10-15%
$303 ปริมาณ
23%
Republican 5-10%
$112 ปริมาณ
6%
Republican 0-5%
$132 ปริมาณ
2%
Democrat Wins
$135 ปริมาณ
1%
The 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tennessee's solidly Republican lean shapes the current market pricing for the November 2026 gubernatorial margin, with Marsha Blackburn's primary victory over John Rose and Monty Fritts positioning her as the clear GOP nominee against Democrat Jerri Green. Recent primary results and polling averages showing a roughly 20-point Republican edge align with historical patterns in the state, where open-seat races still favor the party that carried the presidential vote by nearly 30 points in 2024. Trader consensus clusters around 10-25 point margins because Tennessee's electorate and structural advantages have produced consistent double-digit Republican wins in recent cycles, while low odds on a Democratic victory or sub-10 point result reflect limited competitive pathways. Key upcoming factors that could widen or narrow the spread include general-election turnout in urban and suburban areas, any late national political developments, and the impact of candidate messaging on independent voters.
The 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 5, 2026, 5:02 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,558วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 5, 2026, 5:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tennessee's solidly Republican lean shapes the current market pricing for the November 2026 gubernatorial margin, with Marsha Blackburn's primary victory over John Rose and Monty Fritts positioning her as the clear GOP nominee against Democrat Jerri Green. Recent primary results and polling averages showing a roughly 20-point Republican edge align with historical patterns in the state, where open-seat races still favor the party that carried the presidential vote by nearly 30 points in 2024. Trader consensus clusters around 10-25 point margins because Tennessee's electorate and structural advantages have produced consistent double-digit Republican wins in recent cycles, while low odds on a Democratic victory or sub-10 point result reflect limited competitive pathways. Key upcoming factors that could widen or narrow the spread include general-election turnout in urban and suburban areas, any late national political developments, and the impact of candidate messaging on independent voters.
The 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,558วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 5, 2026, 5:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tennessee's solidly Republican lean shapes the current market pricing for the November 2026 gubernatorial margin, with Marsha Blackburn's primary victory over John Rose and Monty Fritts positioning her as the clear GOP nominee against Democrat Jerri Green. Recent primary results and polling averages showing a roughly 20-point Republican edge align with historical patterns in the state, where open-seat races still favor the party that carried the presidential vote by nearly 30 points in 2024. Trader consensus clusters around 10-25 point margins because Tennessee's electorate and structural advantages have produced consistent double-digit Republican wins in recent cycles, while low odds on a Democratic victory or sub-10 point result reflect limited competitive pathways. Key upcoming factors that could widen or narrow the spread include general-election turnout in urban and suburban areas, any late national political developments, and the impact of candidate messaging on independent voters.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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