The closely matched polling averages in the 2026 Texas Senate race reflect a competitive contest shaped by the Republican primary runoff between incumbent Senator John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton scheduled for May 26. Recent surveys show Democratic nominee James Talarico holding narrow leads in hypothetical general election matchups against either Republican, while Texas's long-term Republican registration advantage and historical patterns of GOP success in statewide contests support the slight market edge for the eventual Republican nominee. Internal party divisions over candidate viability, turnout differences between urban Democratic strongholds and suburban areas, and the outcome of the runoff itself stand as the main variables that could widen or narrow the gap before November voting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTexas Senate Election Winner
Texas Senate Election Winner
$204,518 ปริมาณ
$204,518 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
53%
Democrat
46%
$204,518 ปริมาณ
$204,518 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$112,887 ปริมาณ
53%
Democrat
$91,631 ปริมาณ
46%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The closely matched polling averages in the 2026 Texas Senate race reflect a competitive contest shaped by the Republican primary runoff between incumbent Senator John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton scheduled for May 26. Recent surveys show Democratic nominee James Talarico holding narrow leads in hypothetical general election matchups against either Republican, while Texas's long-term Republican registration advantage and historical patterns of GOP success in statewide contests support the slight market edge for the eventual Republican nominee. Internal party divisions over candidate viability, turnout differences between urban Democratic strongholds and suburban areas, and the outcome of the runoff itself stand as the main variables that could widen or narrow the gap before November voting.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$204,518วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The closely matched polling averages in the 2026 Texas Senate race reflect a competitive contest shaped by the Republican primary runoff between incumbent Senator John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton scheduled for May 26. Recent surveys show Democratic nominee James Talarico holding narrow leads in hypothetical general election matchups against either Republican, while Texas's long-term Republican registration advantage and historical patterns of GOP success in statewide contests support the slight market edge for the eventual Republican nominee. Internal party divisions over candidate viability, turnout differences between urban Democratic strongholds and suburban areas, and the outcome of the runoff itself stand as the main variables that could widen or narrow the gap before November voting.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$204,518วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The closely matched polling averages in the 2026 Texas Senate race reflect a competitive contest shaped by the Republican primary runoff between incumbent Senator John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton scheduled for May 26. Recent surveys show Democratic nominee James Talarico holding narrow leads in hypothetical general election matchups against either Republican, while Texas's long-term Republican registration advantage and historical patterns of GOP success in statewide contests support the slight market edge for the eventual Republican nominee. Internal party divisions over candidate viability, turnout differences between urban Democratic strongholds and suburban areas, and the outcome of the runoff itself stand as the main variables that could widen or narrow the gap before November voting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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