The Pentagon's May 8 release of over 160 declassified UAP files—including historical sightings, infrared videos, and photos of anomalous objects—marked the Trump administration's first tranche under a February executive directive to Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, hosted on war.gov/ufo for rolling updates. This fulfilled campaign pledges for transparency amid congressional pressure but disappointed traders betting on faster disclosure, pricing May 15 at just 10% as interagency reviews by CIA and DIA reportedly delay further batches, per whistleblower claims like David Grusch's. May 31 trades at 44%, reflecting bureaucracy risks, while December 31 odds at 91% capture consensus for eventual additional declassifications before year-end, absent major legal or security holds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$23,855 ปริมาณ
May 15
11%
May 31
38%
December 31
95%
$23,855 ปริมาณ
May 15
11%
May 31
38%
December 31
95%
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 8, 2026, 12:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The Pentagon's May 8 release of over 160 declassified UAP files—including historical sightings, infrared videos, and photos of anomalous objects—marked the Trump administration's first tranche under a February executive directive to Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, hosted on war.gov/ufo for rolling updates. This fulfilled campaign pledges for transparency amid congressional pressure but disappointed traders betting on faster disclosure, pricing May 15 at just 10% as interagency reviews by CIA and DIA reportedly delay further batches, per whistleblower claims like David Grusch's. May 31 trades at 44%, reflecting bureaucracy risks, while December 31 odds at 91% capture consensus for eventual additional declassifications before year-end, absent major legal or security holds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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