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Will TSMC (TSM) beat quarterly earnings?

icon for Will TSMC (TSM) beat quarterly earnings?

Will TSMC (TSM) beat quarterly earnings?

90% โอกาส
Polymarket
ใหม่
90% โอกาส
Polymarket
ใหม่
As of market creation, TSMC is estimated to release earnings on July 16, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for TSMC's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $3.88 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if TSMC reports GAAP EPS greater than $3.88 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If TSMC releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”. If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: TSM trades on the New York Stock Exchange in ADR which represent 5 ordinary shares of the company. This market refers to earnings per ADR. Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.TSMC's upcoming Q2 2026 earnings release on July 16 carries elevated consensus expectations following its Q1 beat, where revenue reached $35.9 billion and gross margins expanded to 66.2% amid robust AI-driven demand for advanced nodes. The company guided Q2 revenue at $39.0–40.2 billion—aligning closely with analyst estimates near $39.5–40.0 billion—and maintained full-year growth above 30%, with capital spending at the high end of prior ranges. Recent monthly sales trends and continued semiconductor sector momentum have priced in strong sequential gains, yet the 55.5% market-implied probability favoring a miss or in-line result reflects the high bar set by prior outperformance and potential volatility around exact EPS delivery or margin realization. Upcoming catalysts include the July 10 monthly sales update and any shifts in broader chip demand signals.

As of market creation, TSMC is estimated to release earnings on July 16, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for TSMC's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $3.88 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if TSMC reports GAAP EPS greater than $3.88 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.

If TSMC releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.

If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”

Note: TSM trades on the New York Stock Exchange in ADR which represent 5 ordinary shares of the company. This market refers to earnings per ADR.
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$165
วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 16, 2026
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 2, 2026, 7:45 PM ET

แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล

https://seekingalpha.com/
As of market creation, TSMC is estimated to release earnings on July 16, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for TSMC's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $3.88 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if TSMC reports GAAP EPS greater than $3.88 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If TSMC releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”. If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: TSM trades on the New York Stock Exchange in ADR which represent 5 ordinary shares of the company. This market refers to earnings per ADR. Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
As of market creation, TSMC is estimated to release earnings on July 16, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for TSMC's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $3.88 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if TSMC reports GAAP EPS greater than $3.88 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If TSMC releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”. If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: TSM trades on the New York Stock Exchange in ADR which represent 5 ordinary shares of the company. This market refers to earnings per ADR. Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.TSMC's upcoming Q2 2026 earnings release on July 16 carries elevated consensus expectations following its Q1 beat, where revenue reached $35.9 billion and gross margins expanded to 66.2% amid robust AI-driven demand for advanced nodes. The company guided Q2 revenue at $39.0–40.2 billion—aligning closely with analyst estimates near $39.5–40.0 billion—and maintained full-year growth above 30%, with capital spending at the high end of prior ranges. Recent monthly sales trends and continued semiconductor sector momentum have priced in strong sequential gains, yet the 55.5% market-implied probability favoring a miss or in-line result reflects the high bar set by prior outperformance and potential volatility around exact EPS delivery or margin realization. Upcoming catalysts include the July 10 monthly sales update and any shifts in broader chip demand signals.

As of market creation, TSMC is estimated to release earnings on July 16, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for TSMC's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $3.88 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if TSMC reports GAAP EPS greater than $3.88 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.

If TSMC releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.

If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”

Note: TSM trades on the New York Stock Exchange in ADR which represent 5 ordinary shares of the company. This market refers to earnings per ADR.
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$165
วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 16, 2026
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 2, 2026, 7:45 PM ET

แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล

https://seekingalpha.com/
As of market creation, TSMC is estimated to release earnings on July 16, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for TSMC's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $3.88 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if TSMC reports GAAP EPS greater than $3.88 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If TSMC releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”. If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: TSM trades on the New York Stock Exchange in ADR which represent 5 ordinary shares of the company. This market refers to earnings per ADR. Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.

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คำถามที่พบบ่อย

"Will TSMC (TSM) beat quarterly earnings?" เป็นตลาดทำนายผลบน Polymarket ที่นักเทรดซื้อและขายหุ้น "Yes" หรือ "No" ตามความเชื่อว่าเหตุการณ์นี้จะเกิดขึ้นหรือไม่ ความน่าจะเป็นจากฝูงชนในปัจจุบันคือ 90% สำหรับ "Yes" ตัวอย่างเช่น ถ้า "Yes" มีราคา 90¢ แปลว่าตลาดให้โอกาส 90% ที่เหตุการณ์นี้จะเกิดขึ้น อัตราเหล่านี้เปลี่ยนแปลงตลอดเวลาตามที่นักเทรดตอบสนองต่อข้อมูลและพัฒนาการใหม่ หุ้นในผลลัพธ์ที่ถูกต้องสามารถแลกได้ $1 ต่อหุ้นเมื่อตลาดตัดสินผล

"Will TSMC (TSM) beat quarterly earnings?" เป็นตลาดที่เพิ่งสร้างใหม่บน Polymarket เปิดเมื่อ Jul 2, 2026 ในฐานะตลาดใหม่ นี่คือโอกาสของคุณที่จะเป็นหนึ่งในนักเทรดกลุ่มแรกที่ตั้งอัตราและสร้างสัญญาณราคาเริ่มต้น คุณยังสามารถบุ๊กมาร์กหน้านี้เพื่อติดตามปริมาณและกิจกรรมการซื้อขายเมื่อตลาดเริ่มคึกคัก

ในการเทรด "Will TSMC (TSM) beat quarterly earnings?" เพียงเลือกว่าคุณเชื่อว่าคำตอบคือ "Yes" หรือ "No" แต่ละฝั่งมีราคาปัจจุบันที่สะท้อนความน่าจะเป็นโดยนัยของตลาด ใส่จำนวนเงินแล้วกด "Trade" ถ้าคุณซื้อหุ้น "Yes" และผลลัพธ์ตัดสินเป็น "Yes" แต่ละหุ้นจ่าย $1 ถ้าตัดสินเป็น "No" หุ้น "Yes" ของคุณจ่าย $0 คุณยังสามารถขายหุ้นได้ตลอดเวลาก่อนการตัดสินผลหากต้องการล็อกกำไรหรือตัดขาดทุน

ความน่าจะเป็นปัจจุบันสำหรับ "Will TSMC (TSM) beat quarterly earnings?" คือ 90% สำหรับ "Yes" นั่นหมายความว่าฝูงชน Polymarket เชื่อว่ามีโอกาส 90% ที่เหตุการณ์นี้จะเกิดขึ้น อัตราเหล่านี้อัปเดตแบบเรียลไทม์ตามการเทรดจริง ให้สัญญาณที่อัปเดตต่อเนื่องว่าตลาดคาดว่าอะไรจะเกิดขึ้น

กฎการตัดสินผลของ "Will TSMC (TSM) beat quarterly earnings?" กำหนดอย่างชัดเจนว่าต้องเกิดอะไรขึ้นเพื่อให้แต่ละผลลัพธ์ถูกประกาศเป็นผู้ชนะ รวมถึงแหล่งข้อมูลอย่างเป็นทางการที่ใช้ตัดสินผล คุณสามารถตรวจสอบเกณฑ์การตัดสินผลทั้งหมดได้ในส่วน "กฎ" บนหน้านี้เหนือความคิดเห็น เราแนะนำให้อ่านกฎอย่างละเอียดก่อนเทรด เพราะกฎระบุเงื่อนไขเฉพาะ กรณีพิเศษ และแหล่งข้อมูลที่ควบคุมการตัดสินตลาดนี้