Trader consensus assigns the highest probability to the USD/IRR rate settling in the 2.2–2.5 million range by end-September, reflecting the free-market rate’s recent stabilization near 2.29 million amid persistent structural pressures. U.S. sanctions under Operation Economic Outcast, combined with the naval blockade in the Strait of Hormuz, have reduced Iranian crude loadings to roughly 200,000–260,000 barrels per day and cut off most export revenues, limiting the supply of hard currency needed to support the rial. Central Bank interventions, including periodic dollar injections of up to $2 billion, have moderated sharper spikes but have not reversed the broader depreciation trend driven by elevated inflation and depleted floating oil reserves. With only days remaining until resolution, limited scope exists for a sudden reversal or further sharp move outside the leading bin absent an unexpected diplomatic breakthrough or escalation in enforcement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วUSD x Iranian rials End of September? (Higher Strikes)
USD x Iranian rials End of September? (Higher Strikes)
2.2 to 2.5M 65%
2.5 to 2.8M 18%
<2.2M 11%
2.8 to 3.1M 4.2%
$27,635 ปริมาณ
$27,635 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
<2.2M
11%
2.2 to 2.5M
65%
2.5 to 2.8M
18%
2.8 to 3.1M
4%
3.1M+
1%
2.2 to 2.5M 65%
2.5 to 2.8M 18%
<2.2M 11%
2.8 to 3.1M 4.2%
$27,635 ปริมาณ
$27,635 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
<2.2M
$4,413 ปริมาณ
11%
2.2 to 2.5M
$6,917 ปริมาณ
65%
2.5 to 2.8M
$11,679 ปริมาณ
18%
2.8 to 3.1M
$3,075 ปริมาณ
4%
3.1M+
$1,552 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus assigns the highest probability to the USD/IRR rate settling in the 2.2–2.5 million range by end-September, reflecting the free-market rate’s recent stabilization near 2.29 million amid persistent structural pressures. U.S. sanctions under Operation Economic Outcast, combined with the naval blockade in the Strait of Hormuz, have reduced Iranian crude loadings to roughly 200,000–260,000 barrels per day and cut off most export revenues, limiting the supply of hard currency needed to support the rial. Central Bank interventions, including periodic dollar injections of up to $2 billion, have moderated sharper spikes but have not reversed the broader depreciation trend driven by elevated inflation and depleted floating oil reserves. With only days remaining until resolution, limited scope exists for a sudden reversal or further sharp move outside the leading bin absent an unexpected diplomatic breakthrough or escalation in enforcement.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 4, 2026, 2:48 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$27,635วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 4, 2026, 2:48 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus assigns the highest probability to the USD/IRR rate settling in the 2.2–2.5 million range by end-September, reflecting the free-market rate’s recent stabilization near 2.29 million amid persistent structural pressures. U.S. sanctions under Operation Economic Outcast, combined with the naval blockade in the Strait of Hormuz, have reduced Iranian crude loadings to roughly 200,000–260,000 barrels per day and cut off most export revenues, limiting the supply of hard currency needed to support the rial. Central Bank interventions, including periodic dollar injections of up to $2 billion, have moderated sharper spikes but have not reversed the broader depreciation trend driven by elevated inflation and depleted floating oil reserves. With only days remaining until resolution, limited scope exists for a sudden reversal or further sharp move outside the leading bin absent an unexpected diplomatic breakthrough or escalation in enforcement.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$27,635วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 4, 2026, 2:48 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns the highest probability to the USD/IRR rate settling in the 2.2–2.5 million range by end-September, reflecting the free-market rate’s recent stabilization near 2.29 million amid persistent structural pressures. U.S. sanctions under Operation Economic Outcast, combined with the naval blockade in the Strait of Hormuz, have reduced Iranian crude loadings to roughly 200,000–260,000 barrels per day and cut off most export revenues, limiting the supply of hard currency needed to support the rial. Central Bank interventions, including periodic dollar injections of up to $2 billion, have moderated sharper spikes but have not reversed the broader depreciation trend driven by elevated inflation and depleted floating oil reserves. With only days remaining until resolution, limited scope exists for a sudden reversal or further sharp move outside the leading bin absent an unexpected diplomatic breakthrough or escalation in enforcement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย