The USS Abraham Lincoln Carrier Strike Group remains in the U.S. 5th Fleet area within CENTCOM’s area of responsibility, where it has operated since January 2026 following its November 2025 departure from San Diego. Its deployment, originally slated for roughly seven months, was extended indefinitely amid U.S. and Israeli military operations against Iran, pushing the ship past 260 days at sea and setting records for consecutive days without a port call. Recent public scrutiny over crew welfare, including reported suicide attempts and family concerns, prompted Acting Navy Secretary statements confirming a planned rotation home, with the Japan-based USS George Washington now transiting westward as the designated relief. No official departure timeline from CENTCOM has been released due to operational security, though relief carrier movements and any shift in regional tensions could influence the exact window. Traders monitor official Navy announcements, fleet tracking data, and developments in Middle East contingencies for signals on when the strike group will exit the Arabian Sea.
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USS Abraham Lincoln departs CENTCOM by...?
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Aug 31, 2026
August 31
20%
September 15
79%
September 30
86%
October 31
91%
$1,895 ปริมาณ
August 31
$494 ปริมาณ
20%
September 15
$279 ปริมาณ
79%
September 30
$453 ปริมาณ
86%
October 31
$668 ปริมาณ
91%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN-72) departs the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) area of responsibility by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The Lincoln will be considered to have departed the CENTCOM area of responsibility upon confirmation by the U.S. Navy, the U.S. Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, or U.S. Indo-Pacific Command that the ship has departed the CENTCOM area of responsibility or entered the any other area of operations, or upon a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the ship has physically exited the CENTCOM area of responsibility.
The departure must occur by the listed deadline. In the event of ambiguity as to whether the USS Abraham Lincoln left the specified area by the specified time, this market will remain open until the earlier of: (i) confirmation that the USS Abraham Lincoln left the specified area by the listed deadline, or (ii) the end of the seventh calendar day (ET) following the listed deadline. The market will resolve based on the totality of information available at that time. If there is material ambiguity as to whether the USS Abraham Lincoln left the specified area by that time, this market will resolve to “No.”
Port calls, temporary stops, crew liberty at an intermediate port, or other movements within the CENTCOM area of responsibility will not qualify. Announcements, orders, schedules, or reports that the ship will depart, is preparing to depart, or is awaiting relief will not qualify absent confirmation that the qualifying departure has occurred. A qualifying departure will count regardless of the ship's subsequent movements or tasking.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military, including the U.S. Navy, the Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, and U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, and a consensus of credible reporting.The USS Abraham Lincoln Carrier Strike Group remains in the U.S. 5th Fleet area within CENTCOM’s area of responsibility, where it has operated since January 2026 following its November 2025 departure from San Diego. Its deployment, originally slated for roughly seven months, was extended indefinitely amid U.S. and Israeli military operations against Iran, pushing the ship past 260 days at sea and setting records for consecutive days without a port call. Recent public scrutiny over crew welfare, including reported suicide attempts and family concerns, prompted Acting Navy Secretary statements confirming a planned rotation home, with the Japan-based USS George Washington now transiting westward as the designated relief. No official departure timeline from CENTCOM has been released due to operational security, though relief carrier movements and any shift in regional tensions could influence the exact window. Traders monitor official Navy announcements, fleet tracking data, and developments in Middle East contingencies for signals on when the strike group will exit the Arabian Sea.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN-72) departs the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) area of responsibility by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The Lincoln will be considered to have departed the CENTCOM area of responsibility upon confirmation by the U.S. Navy, the U.S. Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, or U.S. Indo-Pacific Command that the ship has departed the CENTCOM area of responsibility or entered the any other area of operations, or upon a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the ship has physically exited the CENTCOM area of responsibility.
The departure must occur by the listed deadline. In the event of ambiguity as to whether the USS Abraham Lincoln left the specified area by the specified time, this market will remain open until the earlier of: (i) confirmation that the USS Abraham Lincoln left the specified area by the listed deadline, or (ii) the end of the seventh calendar day (ET) following the listed deadline. The market will resolve based on the totality of information available at that time. If there is material ambiguity as to whether the USS Abraham Lincoln left the specified area by that time, this market will resolve to “No.”
Port calls, temporary stops, crew liberty at an intermediate port, or other movements within the CENTCOM area of responsibility will not qualify. Announcements, orders, schedules, or reports that the ship will depart, is preparing to depart, or is awaiting relief will not qualify absent confirmation that the qualifying departure has occurred. A qualifying departure will count regardless of the ship's subsequent movements or tasking.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military, including the U.S. Navy, the Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, and U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, and a consensus of credible reporting.
The Lincoln will be considered to have departed the CENTCOM area of responsibility upon confirmation by the U.S. Navy, the U.S. Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, or U.S. Indo-Pacific Command that the ship has departed the CENTCOM area of responsibility or entered the any other area of operations, or upon a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the ship has physically exited the CENTCOM area of responsibility.
The departure must occur by the listed deadline. In the event of ambiguity as to whether the USS Abraham Lincoln left the specified area by the specified time, this market will remain open until the earlier of: (i) confirmation that the USS Abraham Lincoln left the specified area by the listed deadline, or (ii) the end of the seventh calendar day (ET) following the listed deadline. The market will resolve based on the totality of information available at that time. If there is material ambiguity as to whether the USS Abraham Lincoln left the specified area by that time, this market will resolve to “No.”
Port calls, temporary stops, crew liberty at an intermediate port, or other movements within the CENTCOM area of responsibility will not qualify. Announcements, orders, schedules, or reports that the ship will depart, is preparing to depart, or is awaiting relief will not qualify absent confirmation that the qualifying departure has occurred. A qualifying departure will count regardless of the ship's subsequent movements or tasking.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military, including the U.S. Navy, the Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, and U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, and a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 19, 2026, 10:40 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,895วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 19, 2026, 10:40 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN-72) departs the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) area of responsibility by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The Lincoln will be considered to have departed the CENTCOM area of responsibility upon confirmation by the U.S. Navy, the U.S. Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, or U.S. Indo-Pacific Command that the ship has departed the CENTCOM area of responsibility or entered the any other area of operations, or upon a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the ship has physically exited the CENTCOM area of responsibility.
The departure must occur by the listed deadline. In the event of ambiguity as to whether the USS Abraham Lincoln left the specified area by the specified time, this market will remain open until the earlier of: (i) confirmation that the USS Abraham Lincoln left the specified area by the listed deadline, or (ii) the end of the seventh calendar day (ET) following the listed deadline. The market will resolve based on the totality of information available at that time. If there is material ambiguity as to whether the USS Abraham Lincoln left the specified area by that time, this market will resolve to “No.”
Port calls, temporary stops, crew liberty at an intermediate port, or other movements within the CENTCOM area of responsibility will not qualify. Announcements, orders, schedules, or reports that the ship will depart, is preparing to depart, or is awaiting relief will not qualify absent confirmation that the qualifying departure has occurred. A qualifying departure will count regardless of the ship's subsequent movements or tasking.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military, including the U.S. Navy, the Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, and U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, and a consensus of credible reporting.The USS Abraham Lincoln Carrier Strike Group remains in the U.S. 5th Fleet area within CENTCOM’s area of responsibility, where it has operated since January 2026 following its November 2025 departure from San Diego. Its deployment, originally slated for roughly seven months, was extended indefinitely amid U.S. and Israeli military operations against Iran, pushing the ship past 260 days at sea and setting records for consecutive days without a port call. Recent public scrutiny over crew welfare, including reported suicide attempts and family concerns, prompted Acting Navy Secretary statements confirming a planned rotation home, with the Japan-based USS George Washington now transiting westward as the designated relief. No official departure timeline from CENTCOM has been released due to operational security, though relief carrier movements and any shift in regional tensions could influence the exact window. Traders monitor official Navy announcements, fleet tracking data, and developments in Middle East contingencies for signals on when the strike group will exit the Arabian Sea.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN-72) departs the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) area of responsibility by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The Lincoln will be considered to have departed the CENTCOM area of responsibility upon confirmation by the U.S. Navy, the U.S. Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, or U.S. Indo-Pacific Command that the ship has departed the CENTCOM area of responsibility or entered the any other area of operations, or upon a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the ship has physically exited the CENTCOM area of responsibility.
The departure must occur by the listed deadline. In the event of ambiguity as to whether the USS Abraham Lincoln left the specified area by the specified time, this market will remain open until the earlier of: (i) confirmation that the USS Abraham Lincoln left the specified area by the listed deadline, or (ii) the end of the seventh calendar day (ET) following the listed deadline. The market will resolve based on the totality of information available at that time. If there is material ambiguity as to whether the USS Abraham Lincoln left the specified area by that time, this market will resolve to “No.”
Port calls, temporary stops, crew liberty at an intermediate port, or other movements within the CENTCOM area of responsibility will not qualify. Announcements, orders, schedules, or reports that the ship will depart, is preparing to depart, or is awaiting relief will not qualify absent confirmation that the qualifying departure has occurred. A qualifying departure will count regardless of the ship's subsequent movements or tasking.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military, including the U.S. Navy, the Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, and U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, and a consensus of credible reporting.
The Lincoln will be considered to have departed the CENTCOM area of responsibility upon confirmation by the U.S. Navy, the U.S. Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, or U.S. Indo-Pacific Command that the ship has departed the CENTCOM area of responsibility or entered the any other area of operations, or upon a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the ship has physically exited the CENTCOM area of responsibility.
The departure must occur by the listed deadline. In the event of ambiguity as to whether the USS Abraham Lincoln left the specified area by the specified time, this market will remain open until the earlier of: (i) confirmation that the USS Abraham Lincoln left the specified area by the listed deadline, or (ii) the end of the seventh calendar day (ET) following the listed deadline. The market will resolve based on the totality of information available at that time. If there is material ambiguity as to whether the USS Abraham Lincoln left the specified area by that time, this market will resolve to “No.”
Port calls, temporary stops, crew liberty at an intermediate port, or other movements within the CENTCOM area of responsibility will not qualify. Announcements, orders, schedules, or reports that the ship will depart, is preparing to depart, or is awaiting relief will not qualify absent confirmation that the qualifying departure has occurred. A qualifying departure will count regardless of the ship's subsequent movements or tasking.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military, including the U.S. Navy, the Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, and U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, and a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,895วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 19, 2026, 10:40 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The USS Abraham Lincoln Carrier Strike Group remains in the U.S. 5th Fleet area within CENTCOM’s area of responsibility, where it has operated since January 2026 following its November 2025 departure from San Diego. Its deployment, originally slated for roughly seven months, was extended indefinitely amid U.S. and Israeli military operations against Iran, pushing the ship past 260 days at sea and setting records for consecutive days without a port call. Recent public scrutiny over crew welfare, including reported suicide attempts and family concerns, prompted Acting Navy Secretary statements confirming a planned rotation home, with the Japan-based USS George Washington now transiting westward as the designated relief. No official departure timeline from CENTCOM has been released due to operational security, though relief carrier movements and any shift in regional tensions could influence the exact window. Traders monitor official Navy announcements, fleet tracking data, and developments in Middle East contingencies for signals on when the strike group will exit the Arabian Sea.
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