US military forces captured Nicolás Maduro on January 3, 2026, and removed him from Venezuela to face charges, shifting formal power to acting president Delcy Rodríguez under the constitutional line of succession and Supreme Court rulings. Chavista-aligned institutions, including the National Assembly led by Jorge Rodríguez and loyal security forces, have maintained continuity, with Delcy consolidating authority through limited reforms, sanctions relief, and diplomatic engagement with the United States focused on stability and energy sector cooperation. No new presidential elections have been scheduled despite opposition calls from figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González, who face ongoing restrictions on political activity. Traders assign Maduro the highest probability due to the regime's institutional resilience and potential for his eventual return or recognition, while pricing opposition outcomes low amid the absence of verified electoral processes or broader power shifts by late 2026.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วผู้นำเวเนซุเอลาสิ้นสุดปี 2026?
นิโคลัส มาดูโร 79.5%
เดลซี โรดริเกซ 12%
มาเรีย โครีนา มาชาโด 4.8%
ไม่มีประมุขแห่งรัฐ 1.4%
$91,889,579 ปริมาณ
$91,889,579 ปริมาณ
นิโคลัส มาดูโร
79%
เดลซี โรดริเกซ
12%
มาเรีย โครีนา มาชาโด
5%
ไม่มีประมุขแห่งรัฐ
1%
เอ็ดมันโด กอนซาเลซ
1%
ฆอร์เก้ โรดริเกซ
1%
ดิโอสดาโด คาเบโญ่ รอนดอน
<1%
โดนัลด์ ทรัมป์
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
<1%
วลาดิเมียร์ ปาดริโน โลเปซ
<1%
อีวาน เพตัส
<1%
มาร์โก รูบิโอ
<1%
ปีเตอร์ เฮกเซธ
<1%
แฟรงค์ โดโนแวน
<1%
ริชาร์ด เกรเนลล์
<1%
แดน เคน
<1%
นิโคลัส มาดูโร 79.5%
เดลซี โรดริเกซ 12%
มาเรีย โครีนา มาชาโด 4.8%
ไม่มีประมุขแห่งรัฐ 1.4%
$91,889,579 ปริมาณ
$91,889,579 ปริมาณ
นิโคลัส มาดูโร
79%
เดลซี โรดริเกซ
12%
มาเรีย โครีนา มาชาโด
5%
ไม่มีประมุขแห่งรัฐ
1%
เอ็ดมันโด กอนซาเลซ
1%
ฆอร์เก้ โรดริเกซ
1%
ดิโอสดาโด คาเบโญ่ รอนดอน
<1%
โดนัลด์ ทรัมป์
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
<1%
วลาดิเมียร์ ปาดริโน โลเปซ
<1%
อีวาน เพตัส
<1%
มาร์โก รูบิโอ
<1%
ปีเตอร์ เฮกเซธ
<1%
แฟรงค์ โดโนแวน
<1%
ริชาร์ด เกรเนลล์
<1%
แดน เคน
<1%
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...US military forces captured Nicolás Maduro on January 3, 2026, and removed him from Venezuela to face charges, shifting formal power to acting president Delcy Rodríguez under the constitutional line of succession and Supreme Court rulings. Chavista-aligned institutions, including the National Assembly led by Jorge Rodríguez and loyal security forces, have maintained continuity, with Delcy consolidating authority through limited reforms, sanctions relief, and diplomatic engagement with the United States focused on stability and energy sector cooperation. No new presidential elections have been scheduled despite opposition calls from figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González, who face ongoing restrictions on political activity. Traders assign Maduro the highest probability due to the regime's institutional resilience and potential for his eventual return or recognition, while pricing opposition outcomes low amid the absence of verified electoral processes or broader power shifts by late 2026.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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