The Weeknd currently holds the #2 spot on Spotify’s monthly listeners ranking with roughly 117 million, narrowly ahead of Rihanna at 116.6 million as of mid-November 2026, while Bruno Mars leads comfortably at #1. This slim gap underpins The Weeknd’s 74.5% market-implied probability for finishing November in second place, with Rihanna at 25.5% reflecting traders’ recognition that even modest streaming surges could flip the order. Artists further back, such as Justin Bieber and Lady Gaga, register lower implied odds due to larger deficits in current listener counts and limited recent momentum in daily streams. With November’s remaining weeks focused on consistent chart performance rather than major releases, the market consensus centers on these two frontrunners and the potential for late-month volatility in global listening data.