Skip to main content
icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Elections·France

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Elections·France

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

$148,326 Vol.

Apr 17, 2027
Polymarket

$148,326 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$6,705 Vol.

96%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$10,209 Vol.

85%

icon for Nathalie Arthaud

Nathalie Arthaud

$5,180 Vol.

84%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$2,377 Vol.

77%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$2,751 Vol.

76%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$6,695 Vol.

75%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$2,615 Vol.

69%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$5,085 Vol.

53%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$576 Vol.

59%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$5,251 Vol.

50%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$5,801 Vol.

42%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$4,623 Vol.

41%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$1,342 Vol.

37%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$979 Vol.

34%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$4,681 Vol.

30%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$2,257 Vol.

26%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$4,322 Vol.

20%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$2,881 Vol.

17%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$3,638 Vol.

17%

icon for Matthieu Pigasse

Matthieu Pigasse

$10,076 Vol.

13%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$3,175 Vol.

10%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$350 Vol.

10%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$2,539 Vol.

10%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$2,250 Vol.

9%

icon for Jérôme Guedj

Jérôme Guedj

$1,756 Vol.

9%

icon for Michel-Edouard Leclerc

Michel-Edouard Leclerc

$1,417 Vol.

9%

icon for Philippe de Villiers

Philippe de Villiers

$2,385 Vol.

9%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$1,265 Vol.

9%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$1,742 Vol.

8%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$1,637 Vol.

8%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$2,842 Vol.

7%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$559 Vol.

7%

icon for Karim Bouamrane

Karim Bouamrane

$2,727 Vol.

7%

icon for Jean-Michel Fauvergue

Jean-Michel Fauvergue

$1,557 Vol.

7%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$4,748 Vol.

6%

icon for Delphine Batho

Delphine Batho

$743 Vol.

5%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$1,576 Vol.

4%

icon for Manuel Valls

Manuel Valls

$972 Vol.

4%

icon for Bally Bagayoko

Bally Bagayoko

$1,258 Vol.

4%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$19,686 Vol.

4%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$478 Vol.

4%

icon for Teddy Riner

Teddy Riner

$352 Vol.

3%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$850 Vol.

3%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$345 Vol.

3%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$970 Vol.

3%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$2,102 Vol.

2%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads first-round polling at around 32-34 percent and is widely viewed as the frontrunner for his party's nomination, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon confirmed his La France Insoumise candidacy in early May and appears likely to qualify.** Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal have also declared, splitting the center-right and Macronist vote, and Bruno Retailleau secured The Republicans' endorsement in April. Marine Le Pen's July 7 appeal against her embezzlement conviction and potential office ban remains the key near-term catalyst that could determine whether Bardella or Le Pen represents the far right. A fragmented left, including an October primary, raises the bar for additional qualifiers, and traders weigh these developments against the need for 500 elected signatures and party consolidation ahead of the April 2027 vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$148,326
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Apr 17, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 24, 2026, 1:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads first-round polling at around 32-34 percent and is widely viewed as the frontrunner for his party's nomination, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon confirmed his La France Insoumise candidacy in early May and appears likely to qualify.** Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal have also declared, splitting the center-right and Macronist vote, and Bruno Retailleau secured The Republicans' endorsement in April. Marine Le Pen's July 7 appeal against her embezzlement conviction and potential office ban remains the key near-term catalyst that could determine whether Bardella or Le Pen represents the far right. A fragmented left, including an October primary, raises the bar for additional qualifiers, and traders weigh these developments against the need for 500 elected signatures and party consolidation ahead of the April 2027 vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$148,326
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Apr 17, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 24, 2026, 1:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 46+ posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" sa 96%, sinusundan ng "Édouard Philippe" sa 85%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 96¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 96% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" ay naka-generate ng $148.3K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Apr 22, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?," i-browse ang 46+ available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" ay "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" sa 96%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 96% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Édouard Philippe" sa 85%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.