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Halalan·Halalan Sa France

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

icon for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
Halalan·Halalan Sa France

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

$62,073 Vol.

Apr 23, 2027
Polymarket

$62,073 Vol.

Polymarket

Éric Zemmour

$1,211 Vol.

60%

Jordan Bardella

$4,888 Vol.

8%

Michel Barnier

$228 Vol.

12%

Valérie Pécresse

$476 Vol.

7%

Élisabeth Borne

$320 Vol.

14%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$587 Vol.

4%

Jean Castex

$651 Vol.

7%

Gérald Darmanin

$752 Vol.

3%

Sébastien Lecornu

$1,871 Vol.

15%

François Bayrou

$553 Vol.

6%

Bernard Cazeneuve

$348 Vol.

50%

Carole Delga

$184 Vol.

12%

Olivier Faure

$2,047 Vol.

28%

François Hollande

$1,029 Vol.

34%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$7,741 Vol.

77%

Manuel Bompard

$2,929 Vol.

6%

Mathilde Panot

$17,061 Vol.

6%

Dominique de Villepin

$247 Vol.

50%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Political fragmentation following Emmanuel Macron’s ineligibility for a third term has accelerated candidate positioning ahead of the April 2027 presidential vote.** By mid-2026, multiple figures had declared, including Jean-Luc Mélenchon in May and Marine Le Pen in July after an appeals court shortened her ineligibility period, clearing the way for her fourth bid. The Republicans endorsed Bruno Retailleau outright in April following an internal vote, while center-right and centrist contenders such as Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal have also entered the field. Trader focus on 2026 announcements reflects the compressed timeline, with legal resolutions, party nominations, and polling strength—particularly National Rally’s lead—shaping which additional candidates surface before year-end. Scheduled events like further court rulings or party meetings could still trigger late declarations.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$62,073
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Apr 23, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Political fragmentation following Emmanuel Macron’s ineligibility for a third term has accelerated candidate positioning ahead of the April 2027 presidential vote.** By mid-2026, multiple figures had declared, including Jean-Luc Mélenchon in May and Marine Le Pen in July after an appeals court shortened her ineligibility period, clearing the way for her fourth bid. The Republicans endorsed Bruno Retailleau outright in April following an internal vote, while center-right and centrist contenders such as Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal have also entered the field. Trader focus on 2026 announcements reflects the compressed timeline, with legal resolutions, party nominations, and polling strength—particularly National Rally’s lead—shaping which additional candidates surface before year-end. Scheduled events like further court rulings or party meetings could still trigger late declarations.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$62,073
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Apr 23, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Kaugnay

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Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

95%
icon for Mananalo ba si Marine Le Pen sa 2027 halalan ng pagkapangulo sa Pransya?

Mananalo ba si Marine Le Pen sa 2027 halalan ng pagkapangulo sa Pransya?

33%
Oo
icon for Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

87%

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 21 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Gabriel Attal" sa 100%, sinusundan ng "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" sa 100%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 100¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?" ay naka-generate ng $62.1K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Apr 22, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?," i-browse ang 21 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?" ay "Gabriel Attal" sa 100%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" sa 100%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.