Skip to main content

Referenda mga prediksiyon at odds

·
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

50%

$415K Vol.

$28.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Switzerland’s June Referendum: What will pass?

Switzerland’s June Referendum: What will pass?

75%

Civilian Service Act

$97.7K Vol.

$24.7K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

18%

$12.9K Vol.

$9.2K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

22%

December 31

$432K Vol.

$25.6K Liq.

7

Ends in 8 months

Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?

Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?

21%

$529 Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

California voter ID referendum passes?

California voter ID referendum passes?

41%

$8.1K Vol.

$8.0K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?

Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?

22%

$1.6K Vol.

$6.3K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

28%

December 31, 2026

$560K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

28

Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?

Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?

36%

$3.4K Vol.

$6.1K Liq.

4

Ends in 3 days

SAVE Act becomes law by...?

SAVE Act becomes law by...?

24%

December 31

$400K Vol.

$33.7K Liq.

5

Peru Senate Election Winner

Peru Senate Election Winner

100%

FP

$94.8K Vol.

$37.6K Liq.

6

Spain snap election called in 2026?

Spain snap election called in 2026?

23%

$18.8K Vol.

$5.5K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Andalusia Regional Election: VOX # of Seats

Andalusia Regional Election: VOX # of Seats

40%

16-18

$2.8K Vol.

$22.4K Liq.

1

Ends in 3 days

Peru Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

Peru Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

100%

FP

$157K Vol.

$39.5K Liq.

4

Andalusia Election: PP # of seats?

Andalusia Election: PP # of seats?

41%

53-55

$3.1K Vol.

$31.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

74%

PL

$5.3K Vol.

$32.9K Liq.

2

Ends in 5 months

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

26%

December 31

$1M Vol.

$17.6K Liq.

72

Ends in 8 months

Andalusia Election: PSOE-A # of seats?

Andalusia Election: PSOE-A # of seats?

64%

27-29

$3.1K Vol.

$38.3K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Malta Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

Malta Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

41%

Labour Party 5-10%

$946 Vol.

$32.2K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

4%

$83.8K Vol.

$20.1K Liq.

9

Ends in 6 months

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang Polymarket ang pinakamalaking prediction market sa mundo, kung saan maaari kang manatiling informed at kumita mula sa iyong kaalaman sa pamamagitan ng pag-trade sa mga bagay na may kaugnayan sa breaking news, pulitika, sports, eleksyon, crypto, finance, tech, kultura, kasama ang mga paksa tulad ng Referenda.

Kasalukuyang nag-ho-host ang Polymarket ng 106 aktibong markets para sa Referenda na nagbibigay-daan sa iyong subaybayan o mag-trade sa mga prediksiyon tulad ng "Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?". Sinusubaybayan mo man ang mga malawakang pinagdedebatehang event o niche outcomes, pinagsasama-sama ng platform ang real-time odds batay sa higit $3.4M sa trading volume, na nagbibigay ng komprehensibong view ng sentimyento ng mga fan at investor.

Ang bawat polymarket ay isang yes/no na tanong, tulad ng "Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?". Bumibili ka ng shares sa "yes" o "no" na outcomes. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa crowd-sourced odds at probabilities. Halimbawa, kung ang yes ay nasa 30 cents, ibig sabihin 30% ang tsansa. Nire-resolve ang mga market batay sa opisyal na resulta. Para sa multi-outcome events, tulad ng "Insurrection Act invoked by...?," mag-trade ka lang sa partikular na outcome na sa tingin mong mananalo.

Sa ngayon, ang pinaka-aktibong market ay "Insurrection Act invoked by...?," kung saan ang crowd ay kasalukuyang nagtatakda ng 26% na tsansa sa December 31. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon at nag-te-trade ang mga user, na nag-aalok ng dynamic na snapshot kung ano ang pinaniniwalaan ng market na mangyayari kumpara sa tradisyonal na bookmaker odds.

Tinatanggal nito ang ingay. Hindi tulad ng mga poll o punditry, pinapakita sa iyo ng Polymarket ang real-time odds sa Referenda predictions na sinusuportahan ng financial conviction na kadalasang mas mabilis at mas tumpak kaysa sa mga eksperto o survey. Makakakuha ka ng unbiased na view ng kung ano ang iniisip ng libu-libong traders na talagang mangyayari, na kadalasang mas tumpak kaysa sa polls. Dagdag pa, maaari kang mag-trade ng shares at posibleng kumita kung tama ang iyong mga prediksiyon.