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Heopolitika mga prediksiyon at odds

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Who will enter Iran by June 30?
Geopolitics·Iran

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

1%

Any U.S. House member

$16M Vol.

$5M today

$388K Liq.

10

Ends in 1 day

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

92%

Starmer - UK PM

$6M Vol.

$2M today

$937K Liq.

93

Ends in 6 months

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Geopolitics·Iran

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

<1%

$66M Vol.

$870K today

$1M Liq.

3

Ends in 1 day

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
Geopolitics·Iran

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

45%

December 31

$3M Vol.

$273K today

$2M Liq.

83

Ends in 2 months

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Geopolitics·Iran

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

1%

$39M Vol.

$722K today

$428K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
Geopolitics·Iran

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

4%

August 31

$60M Vol.

$286K today

$948K Liq.

458

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Geopolitics·Earn 4%

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

13%

$10M Vol.

$527K today

$416K Liq.

1

Ends in 6 months

Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Geopolitics·Maduro

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

82%

Nicolás Maduro

$92M Vol.

$104K today

$2M Liq.

351

Ends in 6 months

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Geopolitics·Israel

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

42%

Gadi Eizenkot

$22M Vol.

$80.5K today

$2M Liq.

424

Ends in 6 months

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

12%

UNRWA

$21M Vol.

$65.8K today

$2M Liq.

194

Ends in 3 months

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Geopolitics·Iran

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

36%

$10M Vol.

$288K today

$345K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Iran leader end of 2026?
Geopolitics·Iran

Iran leader end of 2026?

84%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$17M Vol.

$2M Liq.

122

Ends in 6 months

Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
Geopolitics·Iran

Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

17%

July 8

$324K Vol.

$214K today

$333K Liq.

10

Ends in 12 days

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
Geopolitics·Iran

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

13%

December 31

$28M Vol.

$136K today

$509K Liq.

205

Ends in 6 months

US forces enter Venezuela again by...?

US forces enter Venezuela again by...?

100%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$241K today

$275K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?
Geopolitics·Israel

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

62%

Lebanon

$674K Vol.

$203K today

$295K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Geopolitics·Iran

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

12%

$5M Vol.

$247K today

$229K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Geopolitics·China

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

6%

$37M Vol.

$85.0K today

$540K Liq.

73

Ends in 6 months

Xi Jinping out by June 30?

Xi Jinping out by June 30?

<1%

$4M Vol.

$91.1K today

$501K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
Geopolitics·Iran

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

49%

Switzerland

$250K Vol.

$76.0K today

$583K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang Polymarket ang pinakamalaking prediction market sa mundo, kung saan maaari kang manatiling informed at kumita mula sa iyong kaalaman sa pamamagitan ng pag-trade sa mga bagay na may kaugnayan sa breaking news, pulitika, sports, eleksyon, crypto, finance, tech, kultura, kasama ang mga paksa tulad ng Heopolitika.

Kasalukuyang nag-ho-host ang Polymarket ng 389 aktibong markets para sa Heopolitika na nagbibigay-daan sa iyong subaybayan o mag-trade sa mga prediksiyon tulad ng "Who will enter Iran by June 30?". Sinusubaybayan mo man ang mga malawakang pinagdedebatehang event o niche outcomes, pinagsasama-sama ng platform ang real-time odds batay sa higit $438.9M sa trading volume, na nagbibigay ng komprehensibong view ng sentimyento ng mga fan at investor.

Ang bawat polymarket ay isang yes/no na tanong, tulad ng "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?". Bumibili ka ng shares sa "yes" o "no" na outcomes. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa crowd-sourced odds at probabilities. Halimbawa, kung ang yes ay nasa 30 cents, ibig sabihin 30% ang tsansa. Nire-resolve ang mga market batay sa opisyal na resulta. Para sa multi-outcome events, tulad ng "Venezuela leader end of 2026?," mag-trade ka lang sa partikular na outcome na sa tingin mong mananalo.

Sa ngayon, ang pinaka-aktibong market ay "Venezuela leader end of 2026?," kung saan ang crowd ay kasalukuyang nagtatakda ng 81% na tsansa sa Nicolás Maduro. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon at nag-te-trade ang mga user, na nag-aalok ng dynamic na snapshot kung ano ang pinaniniwalaan ng market na mangyayari kumpara sa tradisyonal na bookmaker odds.

Tinatanggal nito ang ingay. Hindi tulad ng mga poll o punditry, pinapakita sa iyo ng Polymarket ang real-time odds sa Heopolitika predictions na sinusuportahan ng financial conviction na kadalasang mas mabilis at mas tumpak kaysa sa mga eksperto o survey. Makakakuha ka ng unbiased na view ng kung ano ang iniisip ng libu-libong traders na talagang mangyayari, na kadalasang mas tumpak kaysa sa polls. Dagdag pa, maaari kang mag-trade ng shares at posibleng kumita kung tama ang iyong mga prediksiyon.