Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in late February 2026 during joint US-Israeli strikes, triggering the constitutional succession process. The Assembly of Experts selected his son Mojtaba Khamenei as the new supreme leader in early March 2026 via a unanimous vote after an interim leadership council assumed duties. This rapid transition, following contingency plans Khamenei had reportedly prepared amid prior tensions, shifted trader focus to consolidation under the new leader. In August 2026, Mojtaba Khamenei issued senior military and security appointments, including roles tied to the Armed Forces General Staff and Supreme National Security Council, signaling efforts to stabilize command structures during active regional conflict. Ongoing diplomatic and military developments remain key variables that could influence any further leadership adjustments.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$23,478,059 Vol.
August 15
<1%
August 22
1%
August 31
2%
September 30
6%
October 31
10%
November 30
13%
Disyembre 31
18%
June 30, 2027
26%
$23,478,059 Vol.
August 15
<1%
August 22
1%
August 31
2%
September 30
6%
October 31
10%
November 30
13%
Disyembre 31
18%
June 30, 2027
26%
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in late February 2026 during joint US-Israeli strikes, triggering the constitutional succession process. The Assembly of Experts selected his son Mojtaba Khamenei as the new supreme leader in early March 2026 via a unanimous vote after an interim leadership council assumed duties. This rapid transition, following contingency plans Khamenei had reportedly prepared amid prior tensions, shifted trader focus to consolidation under the new leader. In August 2026, Mojtaba Khamenei issued senior military and security appointments, including roles tied to the Armed Forces General Staff and Supreme National Security Council, signaling efforts to stabilize command structures during active regional conflict. Ongoing diplomatic and military developments remain key variables that could influence any further leadership adjustments.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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