Greenland's governing coalition has anchored its independence timeline to a constitutional commission report scheduled for late 2026, with major parties explicitly deferring any referendum until after that review. Economic reliance on Danish fiscal transfers, combined with polling data showing support for independence drops sharply if living standards would decline, has reinforced this gradual approach among officials and voters. Recent statements from Prime Minister Jens-Frederik Nielsen emphasizing continued ties with Denmark have further aligned political actors around a measured process rather than an accelerated 2026 ballot. Trader consensus reflects these procedural and fiscal barriers, though an earlier-than-expected commission release, coalition realignment, or external shock could still shift momentum before year-end.