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Politika·Pedro Sanchez

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Spain?
Politika·Pedro Sanchez

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Alberto Núñez Feijóo 81%

Pedro Sánchez 13.5%

Santiago Abascal 5.8%

Isabel Díaz Ayuso <1%

Polymarket

$102,259 Vol.

Alberto Núñez Feijóo 81%

Pedro Sánchez 13.5%

Santiago Abascal 5.8%

Isabel Díaz Ayuso <1%

Polymarket

$102,259 Vol.

icon for Alberto Núñez Feijóo

Alberto Núñez Feijóo

$26,804 Vol.

81%

icon for Pedro Sánchez

Pedro Sánchez

$17,330 Vol.

14%

icon for Santiago Abascal

Santiago Abascal

$10,033 Vol.

6%

icon for Isabel Díaz Ayuso

Isabel Díaz Ayuso

$5,016 Vol.

1%

icon for Carlos Cuerpo

Carlos Cuerpo

$2,610 Vol.

<1%

icon for Miguel Tellado

Miguel Tellado

$4,111 Vol.

<1%

icon for Aitor Esteban

Aitor Esteban

$2,726 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ester Muñoz

Ester Muñoz

$3,480 Vol.

<1%

icon for María Jesús Montero

María Jesús Montero

$4,273 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cuca Gamarra

Cuca Gamarra

$4,117 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carles Puigdemont

Carles Puigdemont

$6,120 Vol.

<1%

icon for Óscar Puente

Óscar Puente

$2,100 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yolanda Díaz

Yolanda Díaz

$3,472 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ernest Urtasun

Ernest Urtasun

$3,512 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pepa Millán

Pepa Millán

$3,524 Vol.

<1%

icon for Borja Sémper

Borja Sémper

$3,031 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Alberto Núñez Feijóo leads the market at 80.5% because national polling averages show his Partido Popular ahead of Pedro Sánchez’s PSOE by double-digit margins, a trend reinforced by recent regional election results favoring the right. Persistent corruption investigations targeting the Socialist government have further eroded support for the incumbent, while Sánchez remains at 13.7% as traders price in the low probability of early dissolution before the scheduled 2027 vote. Vox leader Santiago Abascal sits at 5.7%, reflecting the split conservative vote and Feijóo’s stronger position to form a government. Minor candidates register near zero because primary sources and parliamentary arithmetic point to the PP leader as the consensus choice should the current minority coalition collapse or lose power. Low odds for a 2026 snap election keep the timeline anchored to the next general contest.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$102,259
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Mar 31, 2028
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 26, 2026, 1:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Alberto Núñez Feijóo leads the market at 80.5% because national polling averages show his Partido Popular ahead of Pedro Sánchez’s PSOE by double-digit margins, a trend reinforced by recent regional election results favoring the right. Persistent corruption investigations targeting the Socialist government have further eroded support for the incumbent, while Sánchez remains at 13.7% as traders price in the low probability of early dissolution before the scheduled 2027 vote. Vox leader Santiago Abascal sits at 5.7%, reflecting the split conservative vote and Feijóo’s stronger position to form a government. Minor candidates register near zero because primary sources and parliamentary arithmetic point to the PP leader as the consensus choice should the current minority coalition collapse or lose power. Low odds for a 2026 snap election keep the timeline anchored to the next general contest.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$102,259
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Mar 31, 2028
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 26, 2026, 1:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Next Prime Minister of Spain?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 16 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Alberto Núñez Feijóo" sa 81%, sinusundan ng "Pedro Sánchez" sa 14%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 81¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 81% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Next Prime Minister of Spain?" ay naka-generate ng $102.3K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jun 26, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Next Prime Minister of Spain?," i-browse ang 16 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Next Prime Minister of Spain?" ay "Alberto Núñez Feijóo" sa 81%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 81% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Pedro Sánchez" sa 14%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Next Prime Minister of Spain?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.