**High polarization ahead of Spain’s snap general election on November 29 is driving expectations of elevated voter turnout, with market pricing favoring outcomes above 70%.** Recent polling averages and analyst estimates from firms such as GAD3 and Metroscopia point to participation around 71–74%, exceeding the 70.4% recorded in 2023 and marking the highest level since 2004. This reflects strong mobilization on both sides amid a closely contested race, where the PP-Vox bloc leads but faces a determined left-wing effort to boost abstention recovery. Factors include widespread housing protests, corruption allegations, migration pressures in Ceuta, and the expanded electoral roll of roughly 38.7 million voters, including over 1.6 million first-time participants. Legal disputes over overseas voting rights add minor uncertainty, yet the dominant narrative in credible reporting remains one of heightened engagement due to the high-stakes contest between ideological blocs.