Spain's snap general election on November 29 has produced a tight contest in Seville province, where 12 congressional seats are at stake and PSOE holds a narrow trader edge at 47% implied probability over PP at 44%. Seville's urban and provincial electorate has long favored PSOE as its strongest Andalusian base, delivering the party five seats in 2023, yet recent regional polling shows PSOE support eroding while PP maintains steady leads nationally. Fragmentation on the left, with Broad Front (Adelante Andalucía) contesting separately, risks splitting progressive votes and keeping the top two parties separated by only a handful of percentage points. The 15-day campaign beginning November 13 will test mobilization efforts in this key constituency, where small shifts in turnout or coalition dynamics could determine the provincial winner.