Trader consensus heavily favors a Republican victory in the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election, reflecting the state's rightward shift under term-limited Gov. Ron DeSantis, GOP legislative supermajorities, and consistent Republican wins in recent cycles including the 2024 presidential contest. Rep. Byron Donalds dominates GOP primary polling at 38-46% per Emerson (April) and Stetson (late April) surveys, bolstered by record $22 million Q1 fundraising and President Trump's endorsement, while a May Public Sentiment Institute poll shows him tied or leading general matchups against Democrat David Jolly. Democrats remain fragmented in their primary, with no clear frontrunner amid undecided voters. Upcoming August 18 primaries could solidify paths, though Florida's battleground status leaves room for shifts via turnout or scandals.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$18,180 Vol.
$18,180 Vol.

Republican
80%

Democrat
18%
$18,180 Vol.
$18,180 Vol.

Republican
80%

Democrat
18%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Binuksan ang Market: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors a Republican victory in the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election, reflecting the state's rightward shift under term-limited Gov. Ron DeSantis, GOP legislative supermajorities, and consistent Republican wins in recent cycles including the 2024 presidential contest. Rep. Byron Donalds dominates GOP primary polling at 38-46% per Emerson (April) and Stetson (late April) surveys, bolstered by record $22 million Q1 fundraising and President Trump's endorsement, while a May Public Sentiment Institute poll shows him tied or leading general matchups against Democrat David Jolly. Democrats remain fragmented in their primary, with no clear frontrunner amid undecided voters. Upcoming August 18 primaries could solidify paths, though Florida's battleground status leaves room for shifts via turnout or scandals.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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