Florida's 2026 gubernatorial contest features an open seat after term-limited Republican incumbent Ron DeSantis, with primaries scheduled for August 18. Republican nominee frontrunner Byron Donalds holds a commanding lead in GOP primary polling, backed by endorsements and fundraising advantages that position him for a strong general-election showing. Statewide partisan leanings, consistent with double-digit Republican margins in recent presidential voting, underpin the 82.5% Republican implied probability. Democratic candidates, led by David Jolly in their primary, trail significantly in hypothetical general-election matchups per available surveys. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting structural barriers for Democrats and limited recent shifts capable of altering the outlook before November 3.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$35,007 Vol.
$35,007 Vol.

Republican
83%

Democrat
18%
$35,007 Vol.
$35,007 Vol.

Republican
83%

Democrat
18%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Binuksan ang Market: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 2026 gubernatorial contest features an open seat after term-limited Republican incumbent Ron DeSantis, with primaries scheduled for August 18. Republican nominee frontrunner Byron Donalds holds a commanding lead in GOP primary polling, backed by endorsements and fundraising advantages that position him for a strong general-election showing. Statewide partisan leanings, consistent with double-digit Republican margins in recent presidential voting, underpin the 82.5% Republican implied probability. Democratic candidates, led by David Jolly in their primary, trail significantly in hypothetical general-election matchups per available surveys. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting structural barriers for Democrats and limited recent shifts capable of altering the outlook before November 3.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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