In Alaska’s August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary for an open governor’s seat (incumbent Mike Dunleavy term-limited), a field of roughly 17 candidates has produced fragmented support and closely matched market prices near or below 40% for leading contenders. Vote splitting among Republicans—including Dave Bronson, Bernadette Wilson, Click Bishop, Treg Taylor, Edna DeVries, Shelley Hughes, and Adam Crum—combined with limited public polling and low overall name recognition has kept any single candidate from establishing a clear edge. Democrat Tom Begich holds a modest polling and visibility advantage from consolidated party backing, while late entrants and independents further dilute the field. With the vote just days away, final turnout, last-minute endorsements, and any late advertising shifts remain the main variables that could separate the top finisher.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWho will place first in the Alaska Governor primary?
Dave Bronson 39%
James Parkin 38%
Treg Taylor 37%
Matt Claman 37%

Dave Bronson
39%

James Parkin
38%

Treg Taylor
37%

Matt Claman
37%

Click Bishop
37%

Shelley Hughes
37%

Hank Kroll
37%

Bill Walker
37%

Matt Heilala
36%

Bernadette Wilson
36%

Bruce Walden
36%

Edna DeVries
35%

Adam Crum
35%

Lesil McGuire
35%

Jessica Faircloth
33%

Destry J. Payne Sr.
33%

Gregg Brelsford
25%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
25%

Tom Begich
26%

Nancy Dahlstrom
20%
Dave Bronson 39%
James Parkin 38%
Treg Taylor 37%
Matt Claman 37%

Dave Bronson
39%

James Parkin
38%

Treg Taylor
37%

Matt Claman
37%

Click Bishop
37%

Shelley Hughes
37%

Hank Kroll
37%

Bill Walker
37%

Matt Heilala
36%

Bernadette Wilson
36%

Bruce Walden
36%

Edna DeVries
35%

Adam Crum
35%

Lesil McGuire
35%

Jessica Faircloth
33%

Destry J. Payne Sr.
33%

Gregg Brelsford
25%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
25%

Tom Begich
26%

Nancy Dahlstrom
20%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 14, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In Alaska’s August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary for an open governor’s seat (incumbent Mike Dunleavy term-limited), a field of roughly 17 candidates has produced fragmented support and closely matched market prices near or below 40% for leading contenders. Vote splitting among Republicans—including Dave Bronson, Bernadette Wilson, Click Bishop, Treg Taylor, Edna DeVries, Shelley Hughes, and Adam Crum—combined with limited public polling and low overall name recognition has kept any single candidate from establishing a clear edge. Democrat Tom Begich holds a modest polling and visibility advantage from consolidated party backing, while late entrants and independents further dilute the field. With the vote just days away, final turnout, last-minute endorsements, and any late advertising shifts remain the main variables that could separate the top finisher.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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