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Politics·Primaries

Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?

icon for Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?
Politics·Primaries

Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?

$216,619 Vol.

Aug 18, 2026
Polymarket

$216,619 Vol.

Polymarket

Tom Begich

$12,434 Vol.

92%

Bernadette Wilson

$14,989 Vol.

69%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

$4,032 Vol.

58%

Click Bishop

$41,342 Vol.

43%

Dave Bronson

$2,383 Vol.

35%

Treg Taylor

$57,960 Vol.

22%

Bill Walker

$76 Vol.

18%

Lesil McGuire

$73 Vol.

16%

Matt Heilala

$3,765 Vol.

12%

Adam Crum

$6,285 Vol.

7%

Shelley Hughes

$2,957 Vol.

5%

Gregg Brelsford

$171 Vol.

4%

Edna DeVries

$12,001 Vol.

4%

James Parkin

$2,492 Vol.

3%

Destry J. Payne Sr.

$92 Vol.

3%

Hank Kroll

$1,608 Vol.

3%

Nancy Dahlstrom

$13,393 Vol.

2%

Bruce Walden

$2,370 Vol.

2%

Jessica Faircloth

$151 Vol.

1%

Matt Claman

$38,046 Vol.

1%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.Alaska’s open 2026 governor race features a crowded nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18 that will advance the highest vote-getters to a ranked-choice general election. With incumbent Mike Dunleavy term-limited, 17 candidates filed by the June 1 deadline, including 11 Republicans such as former Anchorage mayor Dave Bronson and state senator Click Bishop, plus Democrats Tom Begich and Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins and independents like former governor Bill Walker. Name recognition, fundraising, and early positioning are likely to determine which contenders clear the top-four threshold in the final weeks before the June 27 withdrawal deadline and the August primary. Limited polling shows several Republicans and Begich clustered near the top, underscoring the fragmented field and the importance of turnout among different voting blocs.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Volume
$216,619
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 10, 2025, 4:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.Alaska’s open 2026 governor race features a crowded nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18 that will advance the highest vote-getters to a ranked-choice general election. With incumbent Mike Dunleavy term-limited, 17 candidates filed by the June 1 deadline, including 11 Republicans such as former Anchorage mayor Dave Bronson and state senator Click Bishop, plus Democrats Tom Begich and Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins and independents like former governor Bill Walker. Name recognition, fundraising, and early positioning are likely to determine which contenders clear the top-four threshold in the final weeks before the June 27 withdrawal deadline and the August primary. Limited polling shows several Republicans and Begich clustered near the top, underscoring the fragmented field and the importance of turnout among different voting blocs.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Volume
$216,619
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 10, 2025, 4:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 20 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Tom Begich" sa 92%, sinusundan ng "Bernadette Wilson" sa 69%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 92¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 92% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?" ay naka-generate ng $216.6K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Dec 10, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?," i-browse ang 20 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?" ay "Tom Begich" sa 92%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 92% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Bernadette Wilson" sa 69%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.