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Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?

icon for Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?
Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?

$258,729 Vol.

Aug 18, 2026
Polymarket

$258,729 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Tom Begich

Tom Begich

$15,698 Vol.

99%

icon for Bernadette Wilson

Bernadette Wilson

$18,152 Vol.

93%

icon for Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

$16,136 Vol.

81%

icon for Dave Bronson

Dave Bronson

$3,832 Vol.

50%

icon for Treg Taylor

Treg Taylor

$67,862 Vol.

27%

icon for Click Bishop

Click Bishop

$42,196 Vol.

20%

icon for Bill Walker

Bill Walker

$1,969 Vol.

23%

icon for Adam Crum

Adam Crum

$7,627 Vol.

8%

icon for Matt Heilala

Matt Heilala

$4,614 Vol.

5%

icon for Lesil McGuire

Lesil McGuire

$409 Vol.

19%

icon for Edna DeVries

Edna DeVries

$13,554 Vol.

4%

icon for Shelley Hughes

Shelley Hughes

$3,288 Vol.

2%

icon for Jessica Faircloth

Jessica Faircloth

$317 Vol.

1%

icon for Bruce Walden

Bruce Walden

$2,428 Vol.

1%

icon for Hank Kroll

Hank Kroll

$1,938 Vol.

1%

icon for Matt Claman

Matt Claman

$39,194 Vol.

1%

icon for Destry J. Payne Sr.

Destry J. Payne Sr.

$1,231 Vol.

1%

icon for Gregg Brelsford

Gregg Brelsford

$449 Vol.

1%

icon for Nancy Dahlstrom

Nancy Dahlstrom

$15,158 Vol.

<1%

icon for James Parkin

James Parkin

$2,676 Vol.

<1%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.Alaska’s August 18 top-four nonpartisan primary features a crowded field of 17 candidates vying for four general-election spots in an open-seat race after term-limited Republican Governor Mike Dunleavy. Trader probabilities on leading contenders such as Dave Bronson, Click Bishop, and Treg Taylor reflect name recognition, recent polling margins, and early-voting patterns in a system where every vote can shift rankings. Polls from spring and summer show Democrat Tom Begich with the highest overall support, while Republicans Bronson and Bernadette Wilson lead their party’s share; however, the large field and low turnout create volatility. Heavy outside fundraising and campaign events in the final week have narrowed gaps among the top six, with outcomes hinging on how independents and crossover voters rank lesser-known candidates in the remaining hours before polls close.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Volume
$258,729
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 10, 2025, 4:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.Alaska’s August 18 top-four nonpartisan primary features a crowded field of 17 candidates vying for four general-election spots in an open-seat race after term-limited Republican Governor Mike Dunleavy. Trader probabilities on leading contenders such as Dave Bronson, Click Bishop, and Treg Taylor reflect name recognition, recent polling margins, and early-voting patterns in a system where every vote can shift rankings. Polls from spring and summer show Democrat Tom Begich with the highest overall support, while Republicans Bronson and Bernadette Wilson lead their party’s share; however, the large field and low turnout create volatility. Heavy outside fundraising and campaign events in the final week have narrowed gaps among the top six, with outcomes hinging on how independents and crossover voters rank lesser-known candidates in the remaining hours before polls close.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Volume
$258,729
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 10, 2025, 4:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.

Kaugnay

icon for Will Tom Begich place first in the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?

Will Tom Begich place first in the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?

59%
icon for Will Nick Begich III advance from the AK-AL primary election?

Will Nick Begich III advance from the AK-AL primary election?

99%
icon for Mananalo ba si Tom Begich sa 2026 na halalan para sa gobernador ng Alaska?

Mananalo ba si Tom Begich sa 2026 na halalan para sa gobernador ng Alaska?

48%
Oo

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 20 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Tom Begich" sa 99%, sinusundan ng "Bernadette Wilson" sa 93%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 99¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 99% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?" ay naka-generate ng $258.7K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Dec 10, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?," i-browse ang 20 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?" ay "Tom Begich" sa 99%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 99% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Bernadette Wilson" sa 93%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.